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Herbania vs Las Palmas C

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Diaz A.
58' Event
Delgado D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 game between Herbania and Las Palmas C finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Las Palmas C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Herbania
20%
Draws
51%
Las Palmas C
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Las Palmas C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Las Palmas C come out ahead of Herbania on wins alone.
  • Model gives Las Palmas C a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Las Palmas C here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Herbania Clean Sheet 15%
Las Palmas C Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herbania Las Palmas C
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Herbania vs Las Palmas C
0:2
Nov 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas C vs Herbania
4:1
Mar 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas C vs Herbania
2:0
Nov 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Herbania vs Las Palmas C
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herbania Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Las Palmas C Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Delgado D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herbania 11 / 100
Las Palmas C 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herbania Las Palmas C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Las Palmas C Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Herbania's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Las Palmas C conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Herbania remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Herbania VS Las Palmas C
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Herbania

(Home)
10 May
Herbania
1 : 1
Atletico Paso
03 May
SD Tenisca
4 : 0
Herbania
25 Apr
Herbania
1 : 0
Real Union Tenerife
22 Apr
Herbania
1 : 1
Telde
18 Apr
Tamaraceite
4 : 1
Herbania
Page 1 of 6

Las Palmas C

(Away)
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2
Union Sur Yaiza
12 Sept
UD Playas de Sotavento
0 : 2
Las Palmas C
10 May
Las Palmas C
0 : 1
San Miguel
03 May
Atletico Paso
1 : 0
Las Palmas C
25 Apr
Las Palmas C
2 : 1
SD Tenisca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)