Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hercilio Luz U20 vs Barra FC U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Zappacosta J.
26' Event
Gabriel Lyra
77' Event
Dudu Silva

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense U20 2024 game between Hercilio Luz U20 and Barra FC U20 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hercilio Luz U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Hercilio Luz U20
6%
Draws
90%
Barra FC U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Barra FC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Barra FC U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Barra FC U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Barra FC U20 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hercilio Luz U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Barra FC U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hercilio Luz U20 Barra FC U20
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 15 18
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2024 Catarinense U20
Barra FC U20 vs Hercilio Luz U20
3:0
Jul 27, 2024 Catarinense U20
Hercilio Luz U20 vs Barra FC U20
0:2
Jun 29, 2024 Catarinense U20
Barra FC U20 vs Hercilio Luz U20
2:0
Apr 27, 2024 Catarinense U20
Hercilio Luz U20 vs Barra FC U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hercilio Luz U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zappacosta J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dudu Silva
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Barra FC U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Lyra
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hercilio Luz U20 10 / 100
Barra FC U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hercilio Luz U20 Barra FC U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hercilio Luz U20 scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Barra FC U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Hercilio Luz U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Barra FC U20
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barra FC U2020153259:1248
2Criciuma U2020144246:1746
3Marcilio Dias U2020134345:1843
4Hercilio Luz U2020122643:2738
5Avai U202089337:2033
6Figueirense U2020721130:3623
7Joinville U202065927:3623
8Brusque U2020641026:3722
9Chapecoense-SC U2020541134:3719
10Nacao U2020351219:4114
11Inter de Lages U202000208:930