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Hercules vs Murcia Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadio José Rico Pérez, Alicante
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Narro V.
29'
Rico M.
50' Event
Moreno Sanchez J.
Assist: Olmedo V.

AI Match Summary

Murcia in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Murcia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Hercules
15%
Draws
42%
Murcia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hercules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Murcia lately — more wins on the board than Hercules.
  • Model gives Murcia a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Hercules Clean Sheet 15%
Murcia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hercules Murcia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1 1.57
Goals Conceded 1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Hercules vs Murcia
1:2
Mar 15, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Hercules vs Murcia
2:0
Jan 11, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs Hercules
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Hercules vs Murcia
1:0
Jan 18, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs Hercules
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hercules Compare

Top Goalscorer Vazquez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno Sanchez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bosilj D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hercules 10 / 100
Murcia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hercules Murcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Murcia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hercules scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Murcia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Hercules has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hercules VS Murcia
0.5 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hercules

(Home)
26 Sept
Aguilas FC
0 : 1
Hercules
20 Sept
Hercules
1 : 0
Torremolinos
12 Sept
CE Europa
1 : 2
Hercules
06 Sept
Hercules
0 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
29 Aug
Hercules
1 : 2
Murcia
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Murcia

(Away)
30 Sept
Navalcarnero
3 : 1
Murcia
19 Sept
Murcia
2 : 1
CE Europa
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Murcia
13 Sept
Atl. Madrid B
4 : 0
Murcia
09 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 2
Murcia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villarreal B 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Zaragoza 5 4 0 1 8:5 12
3 Jaen 5 3 1 1 8:5 10
4 Alcorcon 5 2 3 0 8:4 9
5 Murcia 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
6 Hercules 5 3 0 2 5:5 9
7 Atl. Madrid B 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
8 Antequera 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
9 Gimnastic de Tarragona 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
10 Sant Andreu 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
11 UD Ibiza 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
12 Huesca 5 1 3 1 4:6 6
13 FC Cartagena SAD 4 1 2 1 4:3 5
14 Real Madrid B 5 1 2 2 4:4 5
15 Aguilas FC 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
16 Rayo Majadahonda 5 1 1 3 5:6 4
17 Algeciras 5 1 1 3 7:11 4
18 CE Europa 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
19 Teruel 5 0 2 3 1:8 2
20 Torremolinos 5 0 1 4 6:11 1
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)