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Herd vs Nardo

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Fjeldstad E.
50' Event
Doving M.
57' Event
Halvorsen K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 game between Herd and Nardo finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Herd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Herd
15%
Draws
57%
Nardo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Herd haven't matched Nardo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Herd a 28% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Herd Clean Sheet 15%
Nardo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herd Nardo
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.67 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Herd vs Nardo
4:1
Aug 16, 2014 Division 2 - Group 2
Herd vs Nardo
1:2
May 3, 2014 Division 2 - Group 2
Nardo vs Herd
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herd Compare

Top Goalscorer Fjeldstad E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Doving M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Halvorsen K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herd 39 / 100
Nardo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herd Nardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Herd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nardo has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Herd's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Difficult form: Nardo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Herd VS Nardo
2.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Herd

(Home)
05 Sept
Herd
1 : 4
Melhus
30 Aug
Ntnui
2 : 1
Herd
15 Aug
Herd
9 : 0
Ranheim 2
10 Aug
Aalesund 2
3 : 0
Herd
31 Jul
Herd
0 : 1
Volda
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Nardo

(Away)
05 Sept
Nardo
4 : 2
Spjelkavik
15 Aug
Nardo
1 : 3
Melhus
08 Aug
Volda
2 : 0
Nardo
03 Aug
Nardo
3 : 0
Molde 2
25 Jul
Spjelkavik
4 : 2
Nardo
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