Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Herediano vs Guadalupe Prediction & H2H Stats

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Carlos Alvarado, Heredia
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Ruiz J.
44'
Ayala L.
44'
Delgado J.

AI Match Summary

Herediano in this Primera Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Herediano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Herediano
15%
Draws
34%
Guadalupe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Herediano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Herediano have won more games recently than Guadalupe.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Herediano taking it.
  • Regular Primera Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Herediano Clean Sheet 19%
Guadalupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herediano Guadalupe
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 5
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.2 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.8 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs Herediano
0:2
Jan 21, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Guadalupe
4:0
Sep 28, 2025 Primera Division
Herediano vs Guadalupe
0:2
Jul 25, 2025 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs Herediano
0:0
Sep 4, 2024 Copa Costa Rica
Guadalupe vs Herediano
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herediano Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quiros H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Guadalupe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herediano 49 / 100
Guadalupe 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herediano Guadalupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Herediano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalupe let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Herediano scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Guadalupe has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Herediano VS Guadalupe
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Herediano

(Home)
20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0
Herediano
13 Sept
Escorpiones
0 : 2
Herediano
05 Sept
Herediano
2 : 3
Zeledon
30 Aug
Cartagines
1 : 0
Herediano
27 Aug
Herediano
2 : 1
Antigua
Page 1 of 6

Guadalupe

(Away)
04 Oct
Aserri
2 : 3
Guadalupe
27 Sept
Guadalupe
2 : 2
Pitbulls
19 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 3
FC Moravia
13 Sept
Santa Ana
2 : 1
Guadalupe
06 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 1
CS Uruguay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Herediano 18 12 2 4 26:10 38
2 Saprissa 18 10 4 4 34:19 34
3 Liberia 18 10 3 5 24:18 33
4 Cartagines 18 10 2 6 26:20 32
5 Alajuelense 18 7 5 6 28:20 26
6 Sporting FC 18 6 4 8 16:21 22
7 San Carlos 18 6 3 9 21:25 21
8 Puntarenas FC 18 4 4 10 22:29 16
9 Zeledon 18 2 8 8 19:30 14
10 Guadalupe 18 3 5 10 13:37 14
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)