Sport Picks
Hereford vs Spennymoor
England
National League North Edgar Street, Hereford 
Match Events
21'
21'
Iwunze H.
72'
72'
Johnson D.
76'
76'
Iwunze H.
AI Match Summary
The National League North game between Hereford and Spennymoor finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hereford.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
20%
24%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hereford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Spennymoor haven't matched Hereford's recent run of results.
- 56% — that's where the model lands on Hereford taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Hereford Clean Sheet 20%
Spennymoor Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hereford | Spennymoor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 National League North
Hereford vs Spennymoor
2:1
Mar 24, 2026 National League North
Hereford vs Spennymoor
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 National League North
Spennymoor vs Hereford
2:0
Feb 8, 2025 National League North
Hereford vs Spennymoor
0:2
Sep 7, 2024 National League North
Spennymoor vs Hereford
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hereford Compare
Top Goalscorer Iwunze H.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Spennymoor Compare
Top Goalscorer Johnson D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hereford 85 / 100
Spennymoor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hereford Spennymoor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hereford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hereford's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Spennymoor let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Hereford remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Hereford VS Spennymoor
2.5 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Hereford
(Home) 19 Sept
Stafford
3 : 2 Hereford
12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0 South Shields
08 Sept
Harborough
0 : 3 Hereford
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1 Spennymoor
31 Aug
Southport
0 : 1 Hereford
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0 South Shields
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1 Spennymoor
29 Aug
Hereford
1 : 1 Chester
18 Aug
Hereford
3 : 0 Radcliffe
15 Aug
Hereford
1 : 0 Marine
Page 1 of 4
Spennymoor
(Away) 19 Sept
AFC Emley
0 : 4 Spennymoor
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Macclesfield
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3 Spalding United
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1 Spennymoor
31 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Hednesford
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
AFC Emley
0 : 4 Spennymoor
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1 Spennymoor
29 Aug
Bedford
3 : 1 Spennymoor
18 Aug
Scarborough Athletic
3 : 0 Spennymoor
08 Aug
Morecambe
1 : 1 Spennymoor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Oxford City | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 4 | Spalding United | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:15 | 17 |
| 6 | South Shields | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9:10 | 17 |
| 7 | Buxton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:14 | 16 |
| 8 | Bedford | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13:13 | 15 |
| 9 | Chester | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 14 |
| 10 | Morecambe | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:8 | 13 |
| 11 | Merthyr Town | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 12 | King’s Lynn | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15:15 | 13 |
| 13 | Harborough | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 14 | Worksop | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Scarborough Athletic | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:11 | 11 |
| 16 | Chorley | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:16 | 11 |
| 17 | Marine | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:11 | 9 |
| 18 | Telford | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 19 | Hednesford | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 20 | Southport | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 21 | Brackley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 22 | Radcliffe | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 23 | Darlington FC | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11:20 | 6 |
| 24 | Spennymoor | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 6 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
