Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2024/2025

Northwood

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Herne Bay play Northwood in the FA Trophy 2024/2025. Herne Bay are favorites here. Recently, Herne Bay averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Northwood averaged 1.24 goals scored and 2.24 conceded. In past meetings, Herne Bay won 1, Northwood won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 7, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Herne Bay and 1.25 for Northwood. This points to a Herne Bay double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%

Herne Bay

15%

Draws

26%

Northwood

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Herne Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Herne Bay picked up more points recently compared to Northwood.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 66%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Herne Bay Clean Sheet 19%

Northwood Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Herne Bay	Northwood
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	11	6
Draws	4	4
Losses	16	19
Goals Scored	1.48	1.24
Goals Conceded	1.97	2.24
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2024 FA Trophy

Herne Bay vs Northwood

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herne Bay 57 / 100

Northwood 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Herne Bay Northwood

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Herne Bay Win (1)

Secondary Pick Herne Bay & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.6%

1.96

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.2%

1.67

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Herne Bay attacking → ← attacking Northwood

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Herne Bay scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Northwood let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Herne Bay went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Northwood lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 22

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13