Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Heybridge vs Hereford

England England

FA Trophy 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Wall R.
60' Event
Henry R.
73' Event
Harvey R.

AI Match Summary

Heybridge in this FA Trophy 2022/2023 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Heybridge
20%
Draws
57%
Hereford
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hereford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Hereford haven't matched Heybridge's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Hereford's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Heybridge have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Heybridge, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Heybridge Clean Sheet 11%
Hereford Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heybridge Hereford
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 2 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.71 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.73 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2022 FA Trophy
Heybridge vs Hereford
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heybridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Wall R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Henry R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.56
Avg xA / game 0.36

Hereford Compare

Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heybridge 10 / 100
Hereford 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heybridge Hereford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hereford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heybridge found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Hereford let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Heybridge has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Heybridge VS Hereford
0.33 Goals Scored 1.88
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Heybridge

(Home)
17 Jul
Heybridge
0 : 4
Colchester
14 Jul
Heybridge
1 : 1
FC Witham Town
26 Jul
Heybridge
1 : 6
Hornchurch
22 Jul
Heybridge
1 : 0
Welling
07 Sept
Heybridge
0 : 1
Maldon & Tiptree
Page 1 of 6

Hereford

(Away)
18 Aug
Hereford
3 : 0
Radcliffe
15 Aug
Hereford
1 : 0
Marine
08 Aug
Buxton
2 : 1
Hereford
01 Aug
Bromsgrove
0 : 1
Hereford
28 Jul
Hereford
1 : 1
Shrewsbury
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Banbury -
TBD -
Grays 0
Stowmarket Town 1
Chesham 2
Lewes 3
Weston-super-Mare 1
Bognor Regis 2
Chesterfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunston 1
Coalville Town 3
Hednesford 4
Stourbridge 2
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kettering -
TBD -
TBD -
Gloucester City -
Oldham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheshunt -
Royston Town 0
Heybridge 2
TBD -
Hereford -
Tavistock 2
Binfield 1
TBD -
Hungerford -
Liversedge 0
Tamworth 2
TBD -
Boston United -
Leamington -
TBD -
Harlow 0
Stortford 4
Bradford PA -
TBD -
TBD -
Farsley -
Chester -
TBD -
Lancaster 3
Gainsborough 2
Matlock 1
Stafford 0
Chasetown 0
Marske United 2
Basford Utd. 1
Marine 2
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Hampton & Richmond -
TBD -
TBD -
Farnborough -
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Notts County -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chorley -
TBD -
Leek Town 2
Worksop 1
Maidstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Weymouth -
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hastings 4
Burgess Hill 2
TBD -
Chippenham Town -
AFC Dunstable 0
Hanwell Town 1
TBD -
Slough Town -
Taunton Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carshalton 0
Kings Langley 1
TBD -
Telford -
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford City -
TBD -
Plymouth Parkway 3
Bristol Manor Farm 1
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Spennymoor -
TBD -
Runcorn Linnets 3
Belper Town 2
Darlington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Alfreton -
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Blyth Spartans -
TBD -
TBD -
Buxton -
Chelmsford -
TBD -
Redditch 3
AFC Totton 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough -
Tonbridge -
TBD -
Bracknell Town 3
North Leigh 2
Haringey Borough 1
Billericay 3
TBD -
Bath City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Welling -
TBD -
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Beaconsfield Town 2
Truro 0
Folkestone 2
Horsham FC 0
Leiston 2
Wroxham 1
Nuneaton 1
Alvechurch 2
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
Colne 5
Warrington Rylands 0
St. Albans -
TBD -
TBD -
Kidderminster -
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Uxbridge 4
Wingate & Finchley 2
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Winchester City 0
Swindon Supermarine 5
TBD -
Dartford -
Concord Rangers -
TBD -
Harrow Borough 2
Hayes & Yeading 0
Warrington Town 3
South Shields 1
Macclesfield 0
Guiseley 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
1/64-finals
Banbury 6
Stowmarket Town 0
Lewes 2
Bognor Regis 3
Chesterfield -
TBD -
Coalville Town 2
Hednesford 0
Gateshead -
TBD -
Kettering -
Gloucester City -
Oldham -
TBD -
Peterborough Sports 3
Cheshunt 2
Heybridge 3
Hereford 0
Tavistock 1
Hungerford 2
Tamworth 2
Boston United 1
Leamington 1
Stortford 0
Bradford PA 1
Farsley 2
Chester 2
Lancaster 1
Matlock 1
Marske United 2
Marine 1
Scarborough Athletic 0
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Hampton & Richmond 0
Farnborough 1
Braintree 1
Brackley 0
Notts County -
TBD -
Chorley 1
Leek Town 0
Maidstone -
TBD -
Worthing FC 4
Weymouth 2
Torquay -
TBD -
Hastings 1
Chippenham Town 2
Hanwell Town 0
Slough Town 3
Taunton Town 2
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Kings Langley 1
Telford 2
Barnet -
TBD -
Oxford City 1
Plymouth Parkway 2
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Spennymoor 3
Runcorn Linnets 2
Darlington FC 4
Alfreton 1
York City -
TBD -
Blyth Spartans 4
Buxton 2
Chelmsford 2
Redditch 1
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Ebbsfleet 0
Eastbourne Borough 1
Tonbridge 2
Bracknell Town 4
Billericay 1
Bath City 3
TBD -
Bromley -
Altrincham -
TBD -
Southport 1
Curzon Ashton 3
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
Aldershot -
TBD -
Welling 3
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Beaconsfield Town 1
Folkestone 2
Leiston 4
Alvechurch 3
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers -
AFC Fylde 2
Colne 1
St. Albans 1
Kidderminster 2
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
Uxbridge 2
Dover Ath. 1
King’s Lynn 1
Hemel Hempstead 2
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Swindon Supermarine 4
Dartford 0
Concord Rangers 2
Harrow Borough 4
Warrington Town 0
Guiseley 1
TBD -
Halifax -
1/32-finals
Banbury 4
Bognor Regis 3
Chesterfield 1
Coalville Town 3
Gateshead 5
Gloucester City 1
Oldham 1
Peterborough Sports 0
Heybridge 1
Hungerford 2
Tamworth 2
Leamington 1
Farsley 3
Chester 2
Marske United 2
Marine 1
Woking 0
Eastleigh 2
Farnborough 2
Braintree 3
Notts County 2
Chorley 1
Maidstone 2
Worthing FC 0
Torquay 3
Chippenham Town 2
Slough Town 0
Taunton Town 1
Solihull Moors 2
Telford 0
Barnet 1
Plymouth Parkway 0
Southend 2
Boreham Wood 0
Spennymoor 1
Darlington FC 3
York City 5
Blyth Spartans 0
Chelmsford 2
Wealdstone 1
Eastbourne Borough 1
Bracknell Town 2
Bath City 3
Bromley 2
Altrincham 1
Curzon Ashton 0
Wrexham 3
Scunthorpe 1
Aldershot 3
Welling 0
Folkestone 1
Leiston 2
Yeovil 0
Dorking Wanderers 1
AFC Fylde 1
Kidderminster 2
Dagenham & Red. 5
Uxbridge 1
Hemel Hempstead 2
Maidenhead 3
Swindon Supermarine 1
Harrow Borough 2
Guiseley 0
Halifax 1
1/16-finals
Banbury 3
Coalville Town 2
Gateshead 3
Oldham 1
Hungerford 2
Tamworth 1
Farsley 7
Marske United 1
Eastleigh 1
Braintree 0
Notts County 2
Maidstone 3
Torquay 4
Taunton Town 2
Solihull Moors 0
Barnet 2
Southend 2
Darlington FC 1
York City 2
Chelmsford 1
Bracknell Town 1
Bath City 0
Altrincham 3
Wrexham 2
Aldershot 4
Leiston 1
Dorking Wanderers 3
Kidderminster 2
Dagenham & Red. 0
Maidenhead 2
Harrow Borough 2
Halifax 3
1/8-finals
Banbury 0
Gateshead 1
Hungerford 2
Farsley 3
Eastleigh 0
Maidstone 4
Torquay 1
Barnet 2
Southend 0
York City 2
Bracknell Town 1
Altrincham 3
Aldershot 1
Dorking Wanderers 0
Maidenhead 0
Halifax 1
Quarter-finals
Gateshead 1
Farsley 0
Maidstone 2
Barnet 3
York City 1
Altrincham 2
Aldershot 0
Halifax 2
Semi-finals
Gateshead 4
Barnet 3
Altrincham 1
Halifax 2
Final
Gateshead 0
Halifax 1