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Hibernian W vs Motherwell W Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

SWPL Cup Women 2025/2026 Meadowbank Sports Centre, Edinburgh
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Bowie T.
19' Event
McGovern K.
Assist: Notley E.
27' Event
Burchill T.
Assist: Bowie T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 9-0, with Hibernian W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Hibernian W
15%
Draws
32%
Motherwell W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hibernian W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Motherwell W haven't matched Hibernian W's recent run of results.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Hibernian W taking it.
  • Hibernian W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hibernian W, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hibernian W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Hibernian W Clean Sheet 68%
Motherwell W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hibernian W Motherwell W
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 20 11
Draws 6 2
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 2.79 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.91 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Hibernian W vs Motherwell W
7:0
Feb 8, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Hibernian W vs Motherwell W
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Motherwell W vs Hibernian W
0:5
Oct 5, 2025 SWPL Cup Women
Hibernian W vs Motherwell W
9:0
Apr 30, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Hibernian W vs Motherwell W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hibernian W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bowie T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McGovern K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.66

Motherwell W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hibernian W 95 / 100
Motherwell W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hibernian W Motherwell W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hibernian W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hibernian W scored in 88% of their last 33 games.

Motherwell W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Hibernian W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hibernian W VS Motherwell W
3.75 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hibernian W

(Home)
27 Sept
Aberdeen W
0 : 2
Hibernian W
20 Sept
Hibernian W
6 : 1
Montrose W
13 Sept
Kilmarnock W
1 : 8
Hibernian W
04 Sept
Hibernian W
2 : 2
Glasgow City W
30 Aug
Celtic W
2 : 0
Hibernian W
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Motherwell W

(Away)
27 Sept
Motherwell W
0 : 2
Spartans W
18 Sept
Celtic W
1 : 0
Motherwell W
13 Sept
Motherwell W
2 : 0
Hamilton W
06 Sept
Motherwell W
0 : 3
Rangers W
30 Aug
Montrose W
1 : 3
Motherwell W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Hearts W -
TBD -
TBD -
Montrose W -
Hibernian W -
TBD -
TBD -
Motherwell W -
Hamilton W -
TBD -
TBD -
Glasgow City W -
Aberdeen W -
TBD -
Dundee Utd W 1
Kilmarnock W 2
Rangers W -
TBD -
Stirling University W 2
St Johnstone W 5
Partick W -
TBD -
Livingston W 4
East Fife W 0
Spartans W -
TBD -
TBD -
Celtic W -
Boroughmuir W 0
Gartcairn W 1
TBD -
Queen's Park W -
1/8-finals
Hearts W 7
Montrose W 0
Hibernian W 9
Motherwell W 0
Hamilton W 0
Glasgow City W 5
Aberdeen W 3
Kilmarnock W 1
Rangers W 12
St Johnstone W 0
Partick W 7
Livingston W 0
Spartans W 1
Celtic W 3
Gartcairn W 1
Queen's Park W 3
Quarter-finals
Hearts W 2
Hibernian W 3
Glasgow City W 2
Aberdeen W 0
Rangers W 3
Partick W 0
Celtic W 9
Queen's Park W 1
Semi-finals
Hibernian W 1
Glasgow City W 2
Rangers W 4
Celtic W 3
Final
Glasgow City W 2
Rangers W 1