Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hiiumaa vs Tallinna FC Zapoos

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2024/2025 Hiiumaa spordikeskuse - artificial grass, Kärdla
Hiiumaa Logo

Hiiumaa

2 - 3
FT
Tallinna FC Zapoos Logo

Tallinna FC Zapoos

Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Orumaa J.
17'
Kastein K. J.
24' Event
Karlson O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Tallinna FC Zapoos advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Hiiumaa
39%
Draws
30%
Tallinna FC Zapoos
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Tallinna FC Zapoos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Tallinna FC Zapoos arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tallinna FC Zapoos, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Hiiumaa Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna FC Zapoos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hiiumaa Tallinna FC Zapoos
Matches Played 10 17
Wins 3 8
Draws 0 0
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2 2.88
Goals Conceded 2 4.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 4.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2024 Estonian Cup
Hiiumaa vs Tallinna FC Zapoos
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hiiumaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Karu S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Linder K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Tallinna FC Zapoos Compare

Top Goalscorer Karlson O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hiiumaa 30 / 100
Tallinna FC Zapoos 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hiiumaa Tallinna FC Zapoos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Hiiumaa scored in 70% of their last 10 games.

Defensive concern: Tallinna FC Zapoos conceded in 76% of 17 recent games.

Solid form: Hiiumaa remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hiiumaa VS Tallinna FC Zapoos
2 Goals Scored 2.88
2 Goals Conceded 4.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Hiiumaa

(Home)
22 Jul
Hiiumaa
4 : 1
Tulevik
20 Jun
Cilicia
2 : 0
Hiiumaa
17 Jun
Hiiumaa
0 : 1
Tera Vilnius
02 Jul
Hiiumaa
0 : 3
Tallinna Kalev
30 Oct
Hiiumaa
2 : 3
Tallinna FC Zapoos
Page 1 of 2

Tallinna FC Zapoos

(Away)
29 Oct
Tallinna FC Zapoos
2 : 4
Parnu JK Vaprus
03 Sept
Tallinna FC Zapoos
3 : 0
Saku Sporting
06 Aug
Tallinna FC Zapoos
7 : 0
FC Hell Hunt
04 Mar
Levadia
7 : 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos
30 Oct
Hiiumaa
2 : 3
Tallinna FC Zapoos
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kubik-
TBD-
TBD-
Marjamaa Kompanii-
FC Hell Hunt-
TBD-
Tallinna Kalev III0
Tabasalu6
Saku Sporting-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Tallinn-
Tallinna GameSport-
TBD-
TBD-
Tammeka Tartu-
Tallinna Kalev-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
EstHam United-
TBD-
TBD-
Inter Tartu-
Kristiine-
TBD-
Legion3
Raplamaa1
Johvi Phoenix-
TBD-
TBD-
Kohvile-
Maksatransport-
TBD-
TBD-
Parnu-
Tamper4
JK Poseidon1
TBD-
Tartu JK Welco 2-
Tartu JK Welco-
TBD-
Flora Tallinn U214
Saue JK Laagri0
Kalju-
TBD-
TBD-
Eston Villa-
Flora-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Maardu Aliens-
TBD-
Viimsi JK0
Kuressaare1
Kose1
Tartu Kalev6
TBD-
Pelgu City-
Loo JK-
TBD-
TBD-
Helm-
Tallinna Wolves-
TBD-
TBD-
Elva-
Levadia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tulevik2
Zealot Sporting1
TBD-
Jarva-Jaani-
Kuusalu Kalev-
TBD-
TBD-
Tartu Helios-
Saae Latte-
TBD-
TBD-
Hiiumaa-
Flora U19-
TBD-
TBD-
Tallinna Kalev U21-
Tallinna FC Zapoos-
TBD-
TBD-
Sillamae Silmet-
TransferWise-
TBD-
Kose II0
Harju JK Laagri26
Nomme Utd-
TBD-
Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond4
Soccernet0
Narva-
TBD-
TBD-
Arukula Vigri-
FC Lootos Polva-
TBD-
TBD-
Tallinna Starmedia-
Parnu JK Vaprus-
TBD-
TBD-
Olympic Tallinn-
Tallinna Smsraha-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Ararat-
Vastseliina Tannem5
Vana Hea Puur0
TBD-
Tabasalu Ulasabat-
Laanemaa Haapsalu-
TBD-
TBD-
Rumori Calcio-
1/32-finals
Kubik3
Marjamaa Kompanii4
FC Hell Hunt1
Tabasalu3
Saku Sporting1
FC Tallinn2
Tallinna GameSport0
Tammeka Tartu24
Tallinna Kalev-
TBD-
EstHam United0
Inter Tartu4
Kristiine0
Legion5
Johvi Phoenix3
Kohvile1
Maksatransport3
Parnu1
Tamper3
Tartu JK Welco 21
Tartu JK Welco2
Flora Tallinn U213
Kalju11
Eston Villa1
Flora-
TBD-
TBD-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Maardu Aliens0
Kuressaare12
Tartu Kalev7
Pelgu City0
Loo JK2
Helm4
Tallinna Wolves0
Elva8
Levadia-
TBD-
Tulevik3
Jarva-Jaani0
Kuusalu Kalev0
Tartu Helios4
Saae Latte2
Hiiumaa6
Flora U190
Tallinna Kalev U216
Tallinna FC Zapoos4
Sillamae Silmet3
TransferWise0
Harju JK Laagri15
Nomme Utd9
Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond0
Narva7
Arukula Vigri0
FC Lootos Polva0
Tallinna Starmedia3
Parnu JK Vaprus11
Olympic Tallinn0
Tallinna Smsraha1
FC Ararat3
Vastseliina Tannem1
Tabasalu Ulasabat5
Laanemaa Haapsalu5
Rumori Calcio1
1/16-finals
Marjamaa Kompanii0
Tabasalu2
FC Tallinn2
Tammeka Tartu1
Tallinna Kalev14
Inter Tartu0
Legion4
Johvi Phoenix3
Maksatransport0
Tamper3
Flora Tallinn U210
Kalju7
Flora0
Paide Linnameeskond2
Kuressaare7
Tartu Kalev0
Helm1
Elva5
Levadia8
Tulevik1
Tartu Helios1
Hiiumaa3
Tallinna Kalev U212
Tallinna FC Zapoos5
Harju JK Laagri3
Nomme Utd0
Narva6
Tallinna Starmedia1
Parnu JK Vaprus10
FC Ararat0
Tabasalu Ulasabat1
Laanemaa Haapsalu6
1/8-finals
Tabasalu1
FC Tallinn3
Tallinna Kalev3
Legion0
Tamper0
Kalju9
Paide Linnameeskond2
Kuressaare1
Elva1
Levadia3
Hiiumaa2
Tallinna FC Zapoos3
Harju JK Laagri0
Narva3
Parnu JK Vaprus3
Laanemaa Haapsalu0
Quarter-finals
FC Tallinn0
Tallinna Kalev5
Kalju1
Paide Linnameeskond0
Levadia7
Tallinna FC Zapoos0
Narva3
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Semi-finals
Tallinna Kalev0
Kalju5
Levadia1
Narva0
Final
Kalju4
Levadia3