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Hilal Alsahil vs Hilal El-Fasher

Sudan Sudan

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hilal Alsahil play Hilal El-Fasher in the Premier League. Hilal Alsahil are favorites here. Recently, Hilal Alsahil averaged 1.14 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Hilal El-Fasher averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Hilal Alsahil won 1, Hilal El-Fasher won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Hilal Alsahil and 1.00 for Hilal El-Fasher. This points to a Hilal Alsahil double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Hilal Alsahil
25%
Draws
15%
Hilal El-Fasher
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Hilal Alsahil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Hilal Alsahil picked up more points recently compared to Hilal El-Fasher.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 18%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Hilal Alsahil Clean Sheet 23%
Hilal El-Fasher Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hilal Alsahil Hilal El-Fasher
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 14 11
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Premier League
Hilal Alsahil vs Hilal El-Fasher
0:0
Mar 16, 2023 Premier League
Hilal Alsahil vs Hilal El-Fasher
1:0
Nov 4, 2022 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Hilal Alsahil
2:2
Jul 22, 2022 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Hilal Alsahil
3:0
Mar 25, 2022 Premier League
Hilal Alsahil vs Hilal El-Fasher
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hilal Alsahil 59 / 100
Hilal El-Fasher 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hilal Alsahil Hilal El-Fasher

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hilal Alsahil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Hilal Alsahil & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +25.1%
4.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hilal Alsahil attacking → ← attacking Hilal El-Fasher

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hilal Alsahil scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Hilal El-Fasher let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Hilal Alsahil went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Hilal El-Fasher lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 41
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman II770016:121
2Al-Merreikh II760121:418
3Hilal Alsahil732210:611
4Madani732213:1111
5Umm Mughad730410:159
6Hilal El-Fasher71244:75
7Hay Al Wadi71246:145
8Alfalah Atbra70072:240