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Himik Devnya vs Septemvri Tervel

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Septemvri Tervel in this Third League - North-East 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Septemvri Tervel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Himik Devnya
20%
Draws
47%
Septemvri Tervel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Septemvri Tervel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Himik Devnya haven't matched Septemvri Tervel's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Septemvri Tervel a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Septemvri Tervel have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Himik Devnya Clean Sheet 10%
Septemvri Tervel Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Himik Devnya Septemvri Tervel
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 21
Draws 2 3
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 1.2 2.59
Goals Conceded 2.53 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2016 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Himik Devnya
2:1
Oct 4, 2015 Third League - North-East
Himik Devnya vs Septemvri Tervel
3:2
Mar 23, 2013 Third League - North-East
Himik Devnya vs Septemvri Tervel
0:3
Sep 9, 2012 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Himik Devnya
2:0
Mar 11, 2012 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Himik Devnya
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Himik Devnya 10 / 100
Septemvri Tervel 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Himik Devnya Septemvri Tervel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Tervel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Himik Devnya has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Himik Devnya's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Septemvri Tervel conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Septemvri Tervel
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Himik Devnya

(Home)
22 May
Himik Devnya
3 : 0
Dve Mogili
15 May
Kaliakra
7 : 0
Himik Devnya
05 May
Himik Devnya
3 : 0
Benkovski Byala
30 Apr
Marisan
1 : 0
Himik Devnya
24 Apr
Himik Devnya
0 : 0
Kubrat
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Septemvri Tervel

(Away)
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1
Fratria II
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2
Devnya 2005
22 Aug
Septemvri Tervel
1 : 1
Volov Shumen
24 May
Septemvri Tervel
4 : 1
Spartak Varna II
20 May
Septemvri Tervel
0 : 1
Ludogorets III
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dobrudzha 28 25 3 0 82:8 78
2 Dunav Ruse 28 24 2 2 86:15 74
3 Belitsa 28 16 3 9 57:32 51
4 Kubrat 28 14 8 6 38:19 50
5 Suvorovo 28 15 5 8 48:35 50
6 Septemvri Tervel 28 12 6 10 39:33 42
7 Chernomorets Balchik 28 11 8 9 37:31 41
8 Benkovski Byala 28 11 6 11 37:46 39
9 Dve Mogili 28 11 2 15 33:58 35
10 Silistra 2009 28 9 6 13 32:31 33
11 Chernomorets Byala 28 8 7 13 28:36 31
12 Preslav 28 6 6 16 37:76 24
13 Provadia 28 6 2 20 24:57 20
14 Ariston Ruse 27 4 5 18 22:52 17
15 Himik Devnya 27 2 1 24 5:76 7
Promotion - B PFG 2013/2014 (Main)