Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hirnyk-Sport vs Penuel Kryvyi Rih Prediction & H2H Stats

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2025/2026 Yunist Stadium, Horisni Plavni
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Taranenko O.
41' Event
Matsiyuk I.
50' Event
Lebedev O.

AI Match Summary

The Druha Liga 2025/2026 game between Hirnyk-Sport and Penuel Kryvyi Rih finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penuel Kryvyi Rih.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hirnyk-Sport
30%
Draws
23%
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hirnyk-Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Hirnyk-Sport have managed 0.7 goals a game lately — Penuel Kryvyi Rih are scoring more at 0.84.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Druha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Penuel Kryvyi Rih have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Hirnyk-Sport Clean Sheet 20%
Penuel Kryvyi Rih Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hirnyk-Sport Penuel Kryvyi Rih
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 20
Goals Scored 0.7 0.84
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Druha Liga
Hirnyk-Sport vs Penuel Kryvyi Rih
2:3
Oct 25, 2025 Druha Liga
Penuel Kryvyi Rih vs Hirnyk-Sport
2:0
Aug 16, 2025 Druha Liga
Hirnyk-Sport vs Penuel Kryvyi Rih
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hirnyk-Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Taranenko O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Popovych K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Penuel Kryvyi Rih Compare

Top Goalscorer Matsiyuk I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lebedev O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hirnyk-Sport 36 / 100
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hirnyk-Sport Penuel Kryvyi Rih

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penuel Kryvyi Rih Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penuel Kryvyi Rih let in goals in 94% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Hirnyk-Sport's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Penuel Kryvyi Rih registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hirnyk-Sport VS Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0.67 Goals Scored 1.38
2.67 Goals Conceded 2.38
83% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hirnyk-Sport

(Home)
22 May
Hirnyk-Sport
1 : 1
Trostyanets
16 May
Lokomotyv Kyiv
6 : 0
Hirnyk-Sport
10 May
Hirnyk-Sport
1 : 1
Kolos Kovalivka 2
06 May
Dinaz Vyshgorod
4 : 0
Hirnyk-Sport
01 May
Hirnyk-Sport
2 : 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
Page 1 of 6

Penuel Kryvyi Rih

(Away)
02 Oct
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
1 : 1
Atlet Kiev
26 Sept
Lozova
1 : 0
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
21 Sept
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
1 : 3
Trostyanets
06 Sept
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0 : 3
Rebel Kyiv
30 Aug
Oleksandriya 2
3 : 0
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kulikiv 30 21 5 4 58:18 68
2 Zhytomyr 2 30 18 9 3 69:22 63
3 Nyva Vinnytsya 30 15 6 9 42:32 51
4 Nyva Ternopil 2 30 16 2 12 30:43 50
5 Atlet Kiev 30 14 4 12 45:48 46
6 FC Uzhhorod 30 13 5 12 40:37 44
7 Skala 1911 30 13 5 12 62:48 44
8 FC Vilkhivtsi 30 12 5 13 50:46 41
9 Bukovyna 2 30 7 6 17 31:57 27
10 Real Pharma Odesa 30 1 4 25 18:96 7
11 Lisne 30 8 3 19 32:30 27
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotyv Kyiv 30 22 4 4 65:16 70
2 Kolos Kovalivka 2 30 21 6 3 64:22 69
3 Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 30 17 6 7 58:41 57
4 Rebel Kyiv 30 15 5 10 34:27 50
5 Livyi Bereg 2 30 13 9 8 50:28 48
6 Trostyanets 30 13 8 9 46:31 47
7 Oleksandriya 2 30 12 8 10 37:32 44
8 Ch. Odesa 2 30 5 9 16 25:56 24
9 Dinaz Vyshgorod 30 5 4 21 26:62 19
10 Penuel Kryvyi Rih 30 3 8 19 27:64 17
11 Hirnyk-Sport 30 3 5 22 20:73 14
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)