Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HJK Akatemia W vs Ilves W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Ljesnjanin A.
29' Event
Olmala H.
46'
Sub
Mero A. In: Pettinen M.
Out: Mero A.

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Liiga Women 2025 game between HJK Akatemia W and Ilves W finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ilves W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
HJK Akatemia W
22%
Draws
18%
Ilves W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: HJK Akatemia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • HJK Akatemia W haven't matched Ilves W's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on HJK Akatemia W taking it.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Ilves W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
HJK Akatemia W Clean Sheet 13%
Ilves W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HJK Akatemia W Ilves W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 2
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK Akatemia W vs Ilves W
1:4
Sep 13, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs HJK Akatemia W
4:0
Aug 2, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
HJK Akatemia W vs Ilves W
3:0
May 24, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Ilves W vs HJK Akatemia W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HJK Akatemia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarkki J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Ilves W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ljesnjanin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olmala H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJK Akatemia W 57 / 100
Ilves W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HJK Akatemia W Ilves W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

HJK Akatemia W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Ilves W conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

HJK Akatemia W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

HJK Akatemia W VS Ilves W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ilves W1071224:925
2PK-35 Helsinki W1072119:925
3EBK W1051416:1517
4JyPK W1031613:2113
5KTP W1023512:1711
6HJK Akatemia W101279:225
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ilves W1071224:925
2PK-35 Helsinki W1072119:925
3EBK W1051416:1517
4JyPK W1031613:2113
5KTP W1023512:1711
6HJK Akatemia W101279:225