Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hobart United vs South Hobart U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

South Hobart U21 in this Tasmania Southern Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored South Hobart U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Hobart United
20%
Draws
61%
South Hobart U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: South Hobart U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to South Hobart U21 lately — more wins on the board than Hobart United.
  • Model gives South Hobart U21 a 61% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Southern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • South Hobart U21 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Hobart United Clean Sheet 10%
South Hobart U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hobart United South Hobart U21
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 8 22
Draws 3 4
Losses 22 5
Goals Scored 2 4.03
Goals Conceded 4.18 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs South Hobart U21
0:5
May 31, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
South Hobart U21 vs Hobart United
13:0
Aug 9, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs South Hobart U21
3:6
May 31, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
South Hobart U21 vs Hobart United
6:1
Jul 13, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs South Hobart U21
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hobart United 10 / 100
South Hobart U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hobart United South Hobart U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Hobart U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 7.80 goals when they meet.

Hobart United scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: South Hobart U21 conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Hobart United stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hobart United VS South Hobart U21
1.88 Goals Scored 4.13
3.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hobart United

(Home)
22 Aug
Hobart United
0 : 5
South Hobart U21
07 Aug
Glenorchy Knights U21
3 : 6
Hobart United
31 Jul
Olympia Warriors
8 : 1
Hobart United
11 Jul
Hobart United
2 : 4
Hobart City
04 Jul
Taroona
1 : 1
Hobart United
Page 1 of 7

South Hobart U21

(Away)
22 Aug
Hobart United
0 : 5
South Hobart U21
09 Aug
South Hobart U21
3 : 3
Hobart City
31 Jul
South Hobart U21
2 : 0
Taroona
18 Jul
South Hobart U21
5 : 0
University of Tasmania
11 Jul
New Town Eagles
0 : 3
South Hobart U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Hobart U21 17 12 2 3 77:23 38
2 Olympia Warriors 17 11 2 4 51:26 35
3 New Town Eagles 16 9 5 2 54:17 32
4 Taroona 17 9 3 5 63:24 30
5 Hobart City 16 8 6 2 43:28 30
6 Clarence Zebras U21 16 7 1 8 37:41 22
7 Hobart United 17 4 2 11 34:81 14
8 Glenorchy Knights U21 17 3 2 12 37:79 11
9 University of Tasmania 17 3 1 13 29:62 10
10 South East United U21 6 0 0 6 6:50 0
Promotion - NPL Tasmania 2027 (Main)