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Hobart United vs South Hobart U21

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
04:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hobart United host South Hobart U21 in the Tasmania Southern Championship. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Hobart United have averaged 2 scored and 5.38 conceded recently, against South Hobart U21's 4.38 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Hobart United have won 1 to South Hobart U21's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 13:0. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 4.00, favoring South Hobart U21. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Hobart United
6%
Draws
90%
South Hobart U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Hobart U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to South Hobart U21 lately — more wins on the board than Hobart United.
  • Model gives South Hobart U21 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Southern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).
  • South Hobart U21 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Hobart United Clean Sheet 10%
South Hobart U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hobart United South Hobart U21
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 9 23
Draws 3 3
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 2 4.38
Goals Conceded 5.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 4.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
South Hobart U21 vs Hobart United
13:0
Aug 9, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs South Hobart U21
3:6
May 31, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
South Hobart U21 vs Hobart United
6:1
Jul 13, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs South Hobart U21
4:1
Apr 21, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
South Hobart U21 vs Hobart United
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hobart United 10 / 100
South Hobart U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hobart United South Hobart U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 7.60 goals when they meet.

Hobart United scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: South Hobart U21 conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

Recent resilience: Hobart United stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hobart United VS South Hobart U21
2 Goals Scored 4.38
5.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Hobart U2114101367:2031
2Olympia Warriors1491439:2328
3Hobart City1484239:2428
4New Town Eagles1475248:1726
5Taroona1473447:2124
6Clarence Zebras U211471636:3622
7Hobart United1432927:6511
8University of Tasmania14311027:5310
9Glenorchy Knights U2114221031:588
10South East United U2160066:500