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Hobart United vs University of Tasmania

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship
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AI Match Summary

The Tasmania Southern Championship game between Hobart United and University of Tasmania finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward University of Tasmania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Hobart United
20%
Draws
38%
University of Tasmania
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hobart United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Hobart United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Hobart United taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Southern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Hobart United Clean Sheet 10%
University of Tasmania Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hobart United University of Tasmania
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 7
Draws 3 1
Losses 20 23
Goals Scored 2.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 4.25 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.25 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs University of Tasmania
2:3
Mar 14, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
University of Tasmania vs Hobart United
0:5
Aug 23, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
University of Tasmania vs Hobart United
3:1
Jul 5, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart United vs University of Tasmania
5:0
Apr 12, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
University of Tasmania vs Hobart United
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hobart United 40 / 100
University of Tasmania 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hobart United University of Tasmania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

University of Tasmania has conceded goals in 94% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Hobart United's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Difficult form: University of Tasmania registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hobart United VS University of Tasmania
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
4.25 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hobart United

(Home)
11 Jul
Hobart United
2 : 4
Hobart City
04 Jul
Taroona
1 : 1
Hobart United
27 Jun
Clarence Zebras U21
2 : 2
Hobart United
20 Jun
New Town Eagles
6 : 3
Hobart United
13 Jun
Hobart United
2 : 3
University of Tasmania
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University of Tasmania

(Away)
18 Jul
South Hobart U21
5 : 0
University of Tasmania
04 Jul
Hobart City
5 : 2
University of Tasmania
26 Jun
Olympia Warriors
4 : 2
University of Tasmania
21 Jun
Clarence Zebras U21
1 : 4
University of Tasmania
13 Jun
Hobart United
2 : 3
University of Tasmania
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Hobart U2114101367:2031
2Olympia Warriors1491439:2328
3Hobart City1484239:2428
4New Town Eagles1475248:1726
5Taroona1473447:2124
6Clarence Zebras U211471636:3622
7Hobart United1432927:6511
8University of Tasmania14311027:5310
9Glenorchy Knights U2114221031:588
10South East United U2160066:500
Promotion - NPL Tasmania 2027 (Main)