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Hobro vs Middelfart

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 DS Arena, Hobro
Hobro Logo

Hobro

3 - 2
FT
Middelfart Logo

Middelfart

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Sogaard E.
36' Event
Hauge R.
Assist: Bruhn M.
43' Event
Hauge R.
Assist: Andreasen S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division 2025/2026 game between Hobro and Middelfart finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hobro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Hobro
30%
Draws
37%
Middelfart
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Middelfart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Hobro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Hobro have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Hobro Clean Sheet 10%
Middelfart Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hobro Middelfart
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.38 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Hobro vs Middelfart
4:0
May 30, 2026 1st Division
Hobro vs Middelfart
3:2
Apr 18, 2026 1st Division
Middelfart vs Hobro
0:6
Mar 21, 2026 1st Division
Middelfart vs Hobro
0:1
Jul 27, 2025 1st Division
Hobro vs Middelfart
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hobro Compare

Top Goalscorer Hauge R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sogaard E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Middelfart Compare

Top Goalscorer Wielzen J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boesen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hobro 34 / 100
Middelfart 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hobro Middelfart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Middelfart Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Hobro found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Middelfart has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Hobro has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hobro VS Middelfart
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hobro

(Home)
11 Sept
Hobro
0 : 0
Vejle
04 Sept
Hobro
1 : 3
Hvidovre IF
30 Aug
Hillerod
3 : 1
Hobro
21 Aug
Hobro
2 : 1
Aalborg
15 Aug
Esbjerg
1 : 2
Hobro
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Middelfart

(Away)
13 Sept
Skive
0 : 0
Middelfart
09 Sept
Nykobing
6 : 5
Middelfart
05 Sept
Middelfart
1 : 1
Fremad Amager
29 Aug
Hellerup
1 : 2
Middelfart
25 Aug
OKS Odense
0 : 1
Middelfart
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Aalborg 32 12 10 10 50:47 46
8 Aarhus Fremad 32 11 11 10 52:37 44
9 Hobro 32 11 9 12 40:43 42
10 Koge 32 11 7 14 42:48 40
11 Boldklubben 1893 32 10 7 15 44:58 37
12 Middelfart 32 3 6 23 32:77 15
Relegation - 2nd Division (Main)