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Hobro vs Middelfart

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 DS Arena, Hobro
Hobro Logo

Hobro

3 - 2
FT
Middelfart Logo

Middelfart

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Sogaard E.
36' Event
Hauge R.
Assist: Bruhn M.
43' Event
Hauge R.
Assist: Andreasen S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division 2025/2026 game between Hobro and Middelfart finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hobro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Hobro
22%
Draws
60%
Middelfart
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Middelfart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Hobro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Middelfart a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Hobro have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hobro Clean Sheet 13%
Middelfart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hobro Middelfart
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 2
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Hobro vs Middelfart
4:0
May 30, 2026 1st Division
Hobro vs Middelfart
3:2
Apr 18, 2026 1st Division
Middelfart vs Hobro
0:6
Mar 21, 2026 1st Division
Middelfart vs Hobro
0:1
Jul 27, 2025 1st Division
Hobro vs Middelfart
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hobro Compare

Top Goalscorer Hauge R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sogaard E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Middelfart Compare

Top Goalscorer Wielzen J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boesen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hobro 19 / 100
Middelfart 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hobro Middelfart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MID Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Middelfart conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Hobro scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Hobro has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hobro VS Middelfart
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hobro

(Home)
02 Aug
Vendsyssel FF
1 : 2
Hobro
26 Jul
Hobro
1 : 2
Aarhus Fremad
18 Jul
Hamburger II
1 : 2
Hobro
11 Jul
Hobro
4 : 0
Middelfart
04 Jul
Horsens
2 : 0
Hobro
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Middelfart

(Away)
04 Aug
Bredballe
0 : 2
Middelfart
01 Aug
Middelfart
4 : 1
Thisted FC
25 Jul
Naesby
0 : 1
Middelfart
18 Jul
Middelfart
3 : 0
VSK Aarhus
14 Jul
Middelfart
3 : 0
Brabrand
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Aalborg 32 12 10 10 50:47 46
8 Aarhus Fremad 32 11 11 10 52:37 44
9 Hobro 32 11 9 12 40:43 42
10 Koge 32 11 7 14 42:48 40
11 Boldklubben 1893 32 10 7 15 44:58 37
12 Middelfart 32 3 6 23 32:77 15
Relegation - 2nd Division (Main)