Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hoffenheim vs Dortmund

Germany Germany

Bundesliga PreZero Arena, Sinsheim
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hoffenheim host Dortmund in the Bundesliga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Dortmund have shipped 1.27 goals a game lately, while Hoffenheim have conceded 1.59 and scored 1.97. Head-to-head, Hoffenheim have won 2 to Dortmund's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.69) point toward Dortmund. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hoffenheim
20%
Draws
33%
Dortmund
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hoffenheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Hoffenheim haven't matched Dortmund's recent run of results.
  • Hoffenheim are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Hoffenheim Clean Sheet 13%
Dortmund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hoffenheim Dortmund
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 18
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.97 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Dortmund
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs Hoffenheim
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Dortmund
2:3
Dec 15, 2024 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs Hoffenheim
1:1
Feb 25, 2024 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs Hoffenheim
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hoffenheim 66 / 100
Dortmund 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hoffenheim Dortmund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hoffenheim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Hoffenheim scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Dortmund let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Hoffenheim remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hoffenheim VS Dortmund
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hoffenheim

(Home)
16 Aug
Tottenham
2 : 2
Hoffenheim
15 Aug
Tottenham
3 : 0
Hoffenheim
01 Aug
Hoffenheim
3 : 0
Karlsruher
29 Jul
Hoffenheim
3 : 1
Holstein Kiel
18 Jul
Freiberg
0 : 3
Hoffenheim
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Dortmund

(Away)
15 Aug
Dortmund
2 : 2
AS Roma
09 Aug
Arsenal
2 : 3
Dortmund
01 Aug
FC Tokyo
0 : 1
Dortmund
29 Jul
Cerezo Osaka
1 : 0
Dortmund
25 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 1
Dortmund
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Berlin 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Eintracht Frankfurt 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Bayern Munich 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Bayer Leverkusen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Werder Bremen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Schalke 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Hamburger 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Dortmund 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 B. Monchengladbach 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Hoffenheim 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 1. FC Koln 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Mainz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Freiburg 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Augsburg 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Paderborn 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 VfB Stuttgart 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Elversberg 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 RB Leipzig 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)