Sport Picks
Hoffenheim vs Dortmund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Bundesliga SNP Arena, Sinsheim 
Match Events
32'
32'
Sub
Mane F. In: Nwaneri E.
Out: Mane F.
40'
40'
Kabak O.
45'
45'
Avdullahu L.
Assist: Coufal V.
AI Match Summary
Dortmund in this Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dortmund.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
15%
50%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dortmund
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Hoffenheim haven't matched Dortmund's recent run of results.
- Hoffenheim are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Hoffenheim Clean Sheet 15%
Dortmund Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hoffenheim | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 18 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.89 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Dortmund
2:3
Apr 18, 2026 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Dortmund
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs Hoffenheim
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Dortmund
2:3
Dec 15, 2024 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs Hoffenheim
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hoffenheim Compare
Top Goalscorer Avdullahu L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lemperle T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Dortmund Compare
Top Goalscorer Guirassy S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Silva F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hoffenheim 35 / 100
Dortmund 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hoffenheim Dortmund
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hoffenheim's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Dortmund let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Hoffenheim remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Hoffenheim VS Dortmund
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Hoffenheim
(Home) 31 Oct
Werder Bremen
2 : 0 Hoffenheim
28 Oct
Holstein Kiel
2 : 1 Hoffenheim
25 Oct
Hoffenheim
3 : 0 Bayer Leverkusen
22 Oct
Hoffenheim
3 : 0 Lyon
18 Oct
B. Monchengladbach
1 : 2 Hoffenheim
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Hoffenheim
3 : 0 Bayer Leverkusen
22 Oct
Hoffenheim
3 : 0 Lyon
15 Oct
Hoffenheim
2 : 3 Besiktas
10 Oct
Hoffenheim
2 : 3 Hamburger
12 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 3
Dortmund
(Away) 04 Nov
Dortmund
2 : 1 Betis
31 Oct
Bayern Munich
2 : 2 Dortmund
27 Oct
Dortmund
3 : 2 Werder Bremen
24 Oct
Dortmund
1 : 0 Eintracht Frankfurt
20 Oct
Sabah FC
1 : 2 Dortmund
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Bayern Munich
2 : 2 Dortmund
20 Oct
Sabah FC
1 : 2 Dortmund
17 Oct
Union Berlin
0 : 0 Dortmund
14 Oct
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0 Dortmund
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1 Dortmund
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 | Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 | Mainz | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 | 1. FC Koln | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 | Paderborn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 | Hamburger | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | Schalke | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
