Sport Picks
Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
Germany
Bundesliga SNP Arena, Sinsheim 
Match Events
13'
13'
Hlozek A.
Assist: Conte B.
34'
34'
Sub
Stiller A. In: Spalt Y.
Out: Stiller A.
48'
48'
Mittelstadt M.
AI Match Summary
Hoffenheim in this Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hoffenheim.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VfB Stuttgart
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- VfB Stuttgart have won more games recently than Hoffenheim.
- Win probability leans Hoffenheim's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Hoffenheim Clean Sheet 10%
VfB Stuttgart Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hoffenheim | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 15 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 2.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
2:1
May 2, 2026 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
3:3
Dec 20, 2025 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hoffenheim Compare
Top Goalscorer Hlozek A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
VfB Stuttgart Compare
Top Goalscorer Mittelstadt M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hoffenheim 34 / 100
VfB Stuttgart 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hoffenheim VfB Stuttgart
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hoffenheim found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
VfB Stuttgart let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Solid form: Hoffenheim remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Hoffenheim VS VfB Stuttgart
2.25 Goals Scored 3.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Hoffenheim
(Home) 12 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
05 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 3 Dortmund
29 Aug
1. FC Koln
3 : 2 Hoffenheim
22 Aug
Aue
0 : 4 Hoffenheim
16 Aug
Tottenham
2 : 2 Hoffenheim
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
05 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 3 Dortmund
01 Aug
Hoffenheim
3 : 0 Karlsruher
29 Jul
Hoffenheim
3 : 1 Holstein Kiel
09 May
Hoffenheim
1 : 0 Werder Bremen
Page 1 of 3
VfB Stuttgart
(Away) 12 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
09 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 Viking
04 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
4 : 1 1. FC Koln
28 Aug
Bayern Munich
5 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
21 Aug
Hansa Rostock
0 : 4 VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
28 Aug
Bayern Munich
5 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
21 Aug
Hansa Rostock
0 : 4 VfB Stuttgart
15 Aug
Fulham
1 : 0 VfB Stuttgart
29 Jul
Kickers Offenbach
1 : 8 VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Mainz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 7 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 |
| 8 | Elversberg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:10 | 5 |
| 10 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 11 | Schalke | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 12 | 1. FC Koln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 13 | Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 14 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 15 | Hamburger | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:13 | 3 |
| 16 | Paderborn | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | 1 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:17 | 1 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
