Sport Picks
Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Bundesliga SNP Arena, Sinsheim 
Match Events
13'
13'
Hlozek A.
Assist: Conte B.
34'
34'
Sub
Stiller A. In: Spalt Y.
Out: Stiller A.
48'
48'
Mittelstadt M.
AI Match Summary
Hoffenheim in this Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hoffenheim.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- VfB Stuttgart have won more games recently than Hoffenheim.
- Win probability leans Hoffenheim's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Hoffenheim Clean Sheet 68%
VfB Stuttgart Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hoffenheim | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 2.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
2:1
May 2, 2026 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
3:3
Dec 20, 2025 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hoffenheim Compare
Top Goalscorer Hlozek A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
VfB Stuttgart Compare
Top Goalscorer Mittelstadt M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hoffenheim 59 / 100
VfB Stuttgart 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hoffenheim VfB Stuttgart
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hoffenheim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 7:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hoffenheim found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
VfB Stuttgart let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Solid form: Hoffenheim remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Hoffenheim VS VfB Stuttgart
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Hoffenheim
(Home) 05 Nov
Crystal Palace
1 : 1 Hoffenheim
31 Oct
Werder Bremen
2 : 0 Hoffenheim
28 Oct
Holstein Kiel
2 : 1 Hoffenheim
25 Oct
Hoffenheim
3 : 0 Bayer Leverkusen
22 Oct
Hoffenheim
3 : 0 Lyon
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25 Oct
Hoffenheim
3 : 0 Bayer Leverkusen
22 Oct
Hoffenheim
3 : 0 Lyon
15 Oct
Hoffenheim
2 : 3 Besiktas
10 Oct
Hoffenheim
2 : 3 Hamburger
12 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
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VfB Stuttgart
(Away) 03 Nov
Galatasaray
2 : 0 VfB Stuttgart
31 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 4 VfB Stuttgart
28 Oct
Paderborn
0 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
23 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 3 B. Monchengladbach
20 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 Atl. Madrid
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Galatasaray
2 : 0 VfB Stuttgart
31 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 4 VfB Stuttgart
28 Oct
Paderborn
0 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
17 Oct
Hamburger
1 : 0 VfB Stuttgart
14 Oct
Slovan Bratislava
0 : 3 VfB Stuttgart
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 | Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 | Mainz | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 | 1. FC Koln | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 | Paderborn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 | Hamburger | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | Schalke | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
