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Hogo Hertha Wels vs St. Polten

Austria Austria

OFB Cup 2025/2026
Tue, Aug 26, 2025
2 - 3
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Brugger M.
35'
Altersberger T.
45' Event
Thesker S.

AI Match Summary

The OFB Cup 2025/2026 game between Hogo Hertha Wels and St. Polten finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Polten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Hogo Hertha Wels
6%
Draws
90%
St. Polten
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Polten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • St. Polten have managed 1 goals a game lately — Hogo Hertha Wels are scoring more at 1.13.
  • Model gives St. Polten a 90% chance of winning this.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal OFB Cup 2025/2026 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors St. Polten here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Hogo Hertha Wels Clean Sheet 18%
St. Polten Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hogo Hertha Wels St. Polten
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 2. Liga
St. Polten vs Hogo Hertha Wels
1:0
Nov 28, 2025 2. Liga
Hogo Hertha Wels vs St. Polten
1:1
Aug 26, 2025 OFB Cup
Hogo Hertha Wels vs St. Polten
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hogo Hertha Wels Compare

Top Goalscorer Brugger M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Radics A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

St. Polten Compare

Top Goalscorer Thesker S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krasniqi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hogo Hertha Wels 10 / 100
St. Polten 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hogo Hertha Wels St. Polten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hogo Hertha Wels's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: St. Polten conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Hogo Hertha Wels remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hogo Hertha Wels VS St. Polten
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Marchfeld Donauauen6
Jennersdorf1
Vocklamarkt0
SW Bregenz2
Union Gurten6
Wals-Grunau2
Parndorf0
Ried5
SC Imst3
Hogo Hertha Wels4
SC Kalsdorf0
St. Polten5
SV Oberwart7
ATSV Wolfsberger0
Wacker Innsbruck0
Rapid Vienna1
Donaufeld Wien0
Floridsdorfer AC Wien4
Retz0
Stripfing5
Horn2
A. Klagenfurt0
Wiener0
LASK Linz4
Lauterach0
Schwaz5
Treibach0
BW Linz3
Atus Velden3
Neusiedl2
Lafnitz2
Hartberg5
Kremser1
Amstetten2
Tillmitsch1
First Vienna3
Reichenau4
Hohenems1
Wallern/St Marienkirchen1
Wolfsberger AC3
Dornbirn1
Grazer AK0
Dietach0
Salzburg4
ASKO Oedt1
A. Salzburg0
Traiskirchen0
Tirol4
Kuchl2
A. Lustenau3
Dinamo Helfort1
Kapfenberg2
Lendorf1
SV Donau2
Hirschwang1
Altach4
ASK Voitsberg3
Austria Vienna2
SC Weiz0
Admira3
Pinzgau Saalfelden1
Rothis2
Bischofshofen0
Sturm Graz4
1/16-finals
FC Marchfeld Donauauen0
SW Bregenz2
Union Gurten0
Ried1
Hogo Hertha Wels2
St. Polten3
SV Oberwart1
Rapid Vienna2
Floridsdorfer AC Wien1
Stripfing3
Horn0
LASK Linz2
Schwaz0
BW Linz3
Atus Velden0
Hartberg3
Amstetten2
First Vienna1
Reichenau0
Wolfsberger AC6
Dornbirn1
Salzburg3
ASKO Oedt1
Tirol3
A. Lustenau0
Kapfenberg2
SV Donau1
Altach3
ASK Voitsberg1
Admira4
Rothis0
Sturm Graz2
1/8-finals
SW Bregenz0
Ried1
St. Polten0
Rapid Vienna1
Stripfing0
LASK Linz2
BW Linz3
Hartberg2
Amstetten2
Wolfsberger AC3
Salzburg3
Tirol1
Kapfenberg1
Altach3
Admira1
Sturm Graz2
Quarter-finals
Ried3
Rapid Vienna0
LASK Linz3
BW Linz2
Wolfsberger AC0
Salzburg1
Altach3
Sturm Graz1
Semi-finals
Ried1
LASK Linz2
Salzburg0
Altach1
Final
LASK Linz4
Altach2