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Holywell Town FC vs Airbus UK Broughton FC

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Holywell Town FC play Airbus UK Broughton FC in the Cymru North 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Holywell Town FC averaged 2.57 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Airbus UK Broughton FC averaged 3.13 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Holywell Town FC won 1, Airbus UK Broughton FC won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 3, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Holywell Town FC and 2.63 for Airbus UK Broughton FC. This points to a Airbus UK Broughton FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Holywell Town FC
18%
Draws
48%
Airbus UK Broughton FC
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Airbus UK Broughton FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Holywell Town FC picked up more points recently compared to Airbus UK Broughton FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 2.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Holywell Town FC Clean Sheet 10%
Airbus UK Broughton FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Holywell Town FC Airbus UK Broughton FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 23
Draws 7 3
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 2.57 3.13
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 3.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Cymru North
Holywell Town FC vs Airbus UK Broughton FC
0:3
Oct 3, 2025 Cymru North
Airbus UK Broughton FC vs Holywell Town FC
0:0
Jan 25, 2025 Cymru North
Holywell Town FC vs Airbus UK Broughton FC
2:1
Oct 25, 2024 Cymru North
Airbus UK Broughton FC vs Holywell Town FC
8:3
Dec 16, 2023 Cymru North
Holywell Town FC vs Airbus UK Broughton FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Holywell Town FC Compare

Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Airbus UK Broughton FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Blackwell-Jones M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roberts J. R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.41
Avg xA / game 2.08

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Holywell Town FC 33 / 100
Airbus UK Broughton FC 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Holywell Town FC Airbus UK Broughton FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Airbus UK Broughton FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8%
1.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Holywell Town FC attacking → ← attacking Airbus UK Broughton FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holywell Town FC scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Airbus UK Broughton FC let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Holywell Town FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Airbus UK Broughton FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 72
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 3.75
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Llandudno FC30262277:2280
2Airbus UK Broughton FC30243393:2275
3Holywell Town FC30186678:4060
4Newtown301531251:4948
5Rhyl301441246:5546
6Guilsfield301341350:4843
7Mold Alexandra301251338:4541
8Denbigh301241452:5940
9Caersws FC301141546:5137
10Brickfield Rangers301141539:4937
11Holyhead301061444:4936
12Penrhyncoch301051545:5335
13Buckley30931850:7730
14Flint Mountain30921939:6129
15Gresford30841847:8728
16Ruthin Town30651936:6423