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Stadium Background

Honefoss W vs Stabaek W

Norway Norway

Toppserien Women Hønefoss Stadion, Hønefoss
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Flo M.
16' Event
Berg-Solemdal M.
23'
Anderdal A.

AI Match Summary

The Toppserien Women game between Honefoss W and Stabaek W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stabaek W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Honefoss W
15%
Draws
49%
Stabaek W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stabaek W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stabaek W come out ahead of Honefoss W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Stabaek W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Toppserien Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Stabaek W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Honefoss W Clean Sheet 10%
Stabaek W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Honefoss W Stabaek W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.31 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Toppserien Women
Honefoss W vs Stabaek W
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Stabaek W vs Honefoss W
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Toppserien Women
Honefoss W vs Stabaek W
0:2
Aug 23, 2025 Toppserien Women
Stabaek W vs Honefoss W
1:0
Mar 23, 2025 Toppserien Women
Honefoss W vs Stabaek W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Honefoss W Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsen C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Stabaek W Compare

Top Goalscorer Berg-Solemdal M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ron G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Honefoss W 10 / 100
Stabaek W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Honefoss W Stabaek W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stabaek W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Honefoss W scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Stabaek W has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Stabaek W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Honefoss W VS Stabaek W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Honefoss W

(Home)
31 Aug
Honefoss W
0 : 1
Aalesund W
19 Aug
Valerenga W
2 : 1
Honefoss W
15 Aug
Honefoss W
0 : 3
Brann W
31 Jul
Lyn W
4 : 1
Honefoss W
20 Jun
Honefoss W
1 : 0
Lyn W
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Stabaek W

(Away)
22 Aug
Stabaek W
7 : 1
Bodo/Glimt W
15 Aug
Haugesund W
1 : 1
Stabaek W
26 Jul
Rosengard W
1 : 0
Stabaek W
28 Jun
Stabaek W
3 : 4
Aalesund W
20 Jun
Stabaek W
0 : 1
Roa W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brann W 14 12 2 0 45:4 38
2 Aalesund W 14 11 1 2 35:14 34
3 Rosenborg W 14 9 3 2 26:16 30
4 Valerenga W 14 8 1 5 33:20 25
5 Stabaek W 14 6 3 5 26:14 21
6 Lyn W 14 5 4 5 26:17 19
7 Molde W 14 5 3 6 22:24 18
8 LSK Kvinner W 14 4 3 7 19:23 15
9 Haugesund W 14 4 3 7 19:36 15
10 Roa W 14 2 4 8 12:28 10
11 Honefoss W 14 2 2 10 11:29 8
12 Bodo/Glimt W 14 0 3 11 9:58 3
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)
Relegation - Toppserien Women (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 Women 2027 (Main)