Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hoogstraten vs Ninove

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Cassaert A.
60' Event
Ngongo J.
61' Event
Van De Vel N.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 game between Hoogstraten and Ninove finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hoogstraten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Hoogstraten
35%
Draws
45%
Ninove
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ninove

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Hoogstraten carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Hoogstraten taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Hoogstraten have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Hoogstraten Clean Sheet 16%
Ninove Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hoogstraten Ninove
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 10 2
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 1.69 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Hoogstraten vs Ninove
3:1
Oct 11, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Ninove vs Hoogstraten
1:2
Feb 8, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Hoogstraten vs Ninove
2:0
Nov 30, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Ninove vs Hoogstraten
0:0
Feb 18, 2023 National Division 1
Ninove vs Hoogstraten
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hoogstraten Compare

Top Goalscorer Cassaert A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Van De Vel N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Ninove Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngongo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hoogstraten 36 / 100
Ninove 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hoogstraten Ninove

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hoogstraten scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Ninove's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Hoogstraten has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hoogstraten VS Ninove
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hoogstraten

(Home)
19 Sept
Mandel United
2 : 1
Hoogstraten
12 Sept
Hoogstraten
4 : 4
K. Lyra-Lierse
05 Sept
Dessel
1 : 1
Hoogstraten
28 Aug
Hoogstraten
2 : 3
Merelbeke
26 Apr
Tienen
1 : 1
Hoogstraten
Page 1 of 7

Ninove

(Away)
19 Sept
Ninove
4 : 2
Kalken
12 Sept
Oudenaarde
3 : 3
Ninove
05 Sept
Ninove
0 : 2
RFC Wetteren
30 Aug
Eendracht Aalst
3 : 0
Ninove
26 Apr
Ninove
3 : 1
Merelbeke
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
Promotion - Challenger Pro League (Main)