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Hopaspor vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Koroglu K.
Assist: Ozyildirim M.
85' Event
Kahya S.
Assist: Keles T.
87' Event
Cengiz B.
Assist: Ozyildirim M.

AI Match Summary

Karabuk Idmanyurdu in this 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karabuk Idmanyurdu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Hopaspor
39%
Draws
31%
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Karabuk Idmanyurdu lately — more wins on the board than Hopaspor.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Karabuk Idmanyurdu have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Hopaspor Clean Sheet 68%
Karabuk Idmanyurdu Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hopaspor Karabuk Idmanyurdu
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Karabuk Idmanyurdu vs Hopaspor
3:1
Dec 6, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Hopaspor vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu
0:3
Apr 14, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Hopaspor vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu
0:2
Dec 3, 2023 3. Lig Group 1
Karabuk Idmanyurdu vs Hopaspor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hopaspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Karabuk Idmanyurdu Compare

Top Goalscorer Koroglu K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kahya S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hopaspor 41 / 100
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hopaspor Karabuk Idmanyurdu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hopaspor scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Solid form: Hopaspor remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Karabuk Idmanyurdu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hopaspor VS Karabuk Idmanyurdu
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hopaspor

(Home)
18 Apr
Hopaspor
7 : 3
Bulancakspor
12 Apr
Cayeli SK
3 : 2
Hopaspor
05 Apr
Hopaspor
4 : 1
Amasyaspor
29 Mar
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
3 : 1
Hopaspor
25 Mar
Hopaspor
2 : 1
Zonguldak Komurspor
Page 1 of 6

Karabuk Idmanyurdu

(Away)
18 Apr
Giresunspor
0 : 1
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
12 Apr
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
0 : 1
Pazarspor
05 Apr
Fatsa Bld.
2 : 3
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
29 Mar
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
3 : 1
Hopaspor
24 Mar
Karadeniz Eregli
0 : 0
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sebat Spor Kulubu30207356:2367
252 Orduspor30184868:3058
3Karadeniz Eregli30169544:2957
4Yozgat30176758:2757
5Fatsa Bld.301541140:3249
6Zonguldak Komurspor301371048:3046
7Pazarspor301110929:3143
8Karabuk Idmanyurdu301251332:4741
9Duzcespor301171230:3640
10Tokat Bld Plevnespor301061431:3836
11Orduspor 196730971435:5134
12Amasyaspor30961528:4033
13Hopaspor30951638:5032
14Bulancakspor30851730:6029
15Cayeli SK30591625:4624
16Giresunspor30491721:4321
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)