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Hopaspor vs Zonguldak Komurspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hopaspor play Zonguldak Komurspor in the 3. Lig Group 3. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hopaspor averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Zonguldak Komurspor averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. In past meetings, Hopaspor won 1, Zonguldak Komurspor won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 25, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Hopaspor and 1.25 for Zonguldak Komurspor. This points to a Zonguldak Komurspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Hopaspor
18%
Draws
48%
Zonguldak Komurspor
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Zonguldak Komurspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Hopaspor picked up more points recently compared to Zonguldak Komurspor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Hopaspor Clean Sheet 19%
Zonguldak Komurspor Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hopaspor Zonguldak Komurspor
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.27 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Hopaspor vs Zonguldak Komurspor
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Zonguldak Komurspor vs Hopaspor
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hopaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Karaal E. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Zonguldak Komurspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yasar O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hopaspor 34 / 100
Zonguldak Komurspor 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hopaspor Zonguldak Komurspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zonguldak Komurspor or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hopaspor attacking → ← attacking Zonguldak Komurspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hopaspor scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Zonguldak Komurspor let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Hopaspor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Zonguldak Komurspor lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 48
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sebat Spor Kulubu30207356:2367
252 Orduspor30184868:3058
3Karadeniz Eregli30169544:2957
4Yozgat30176758:2757
5Fatsa Bld.301541140:3249
6Zonguldak Komurspor301371048:3046
7Pazarspor301110929:3143
8Karabuk Idmanyurdu301251332:4741
9Duzcespor301171230:3640
10Tokat Bld Plevnespor301061431:3836
11Orduspor 196730971435:5134
12Amasyaspor30961528:4033
13Hopaspor30951638:5032
14Bulancakspor30851730:6029
15Cayeli SK30591625:4624
16Giresunspor30491721:4321