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Horizonte vs Floresta EC

Brazil Brazil

Cearense Domingão, Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Bismark
28' Event
Cedric
Assist: Matheusinho
46'
Sub
Ribeiro L. In: Calbergue A.
Out: Ribeiro L.

AI Match Summary

Floresta EC in this Cearense matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Floresta EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Horizonte
35%
Draws
56%
Floresta EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Floresta EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Very High Confidence
  • Floresta EC have won more games recently than Horizonte.
  • Win probability leans Floresta EC's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Cearense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Horizonte Clean Sheet 10%
Floresta EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horizonte Floresta EC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 3 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Cearense
Horizonte vs Floresta EC
0:1
Feb 4, 2024 Cearense
Floresta EC vs Horizonte
4:2
Jan 22, 2020 Cearense
Horizonte vs Floresta EC
1:4
Feb 21, 2019 Cearense
Floresta EC vs Horizonte
0:1
Jan 31, 2019 Cearense
Floresta EC vs Horizonte
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Horizonte Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Floresta EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Cedric
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horizonte 14 / 100
Floresta EC 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horizonte Floresta EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Floresta EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Horizonte scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Horizonte has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Horizonte VS Floresta EC
1 Goals Scored 0.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Horizonte

(Home)
11 Feb
Iguatu
3 : 1
Horizonte
07 Feb
Horizonte
0 : 1
Floresta EC
01 Feb
Ceara
4 : 0
Horizonte
27 Jan
Iguatu
1 : 1
Horizonte
22 Jan
Horizonte
0 : 1
Fortaleza
Page 1 of 6

Floresta EC

(Away)
27 Jul
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Maringa FC
11 Jul
SER Caxias do Sul
0 : 0
Floresta EC
04 Jul
Guarani
0 : 0
Floresta EC
27 Jun
Floresta EC
2 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
21 Jun
Brusque
2 : 1
Floresta EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 Ferroviario 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
3 Horizonte 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - Cearense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense (5th-6th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Floresta EC 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
3 Iguatu 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
Promotion - Cearense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense (5th-6th places)