Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Horseed vs Jazeera

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Horseed and Jazeera finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Horseed
39%
Draws
31%
Jazeera
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Horseed come out ahead of Jazeera on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Horseed Clean Sheet 17%
Jazeera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horseed Jazeera
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 15 5
Draws 10 8
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 2 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 National league
Horseed vs Jazeera
2:2
May 8, 2026 National league
Jazeera vs Horseed
0:0
May 30, 2025 National league
Horseed vs Jazeera
4:1
Feb 12, 2025 National league
Jazeera vs Horseed
0:4
Jul 7, 2024 National league
Jazeera vs Horseed
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horseed 30 / 100
Jazeera 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horseed Jazeera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horseed's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Jazeera conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Horseed went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Horseed VS Jazeera
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Horseed

(Home)
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
11 Jul
Elman
0 : 0
Horseed
03 Jul
Horseed
1 : 1
Jeenyo
26 Jun
Heegan
2 : 3
Horseed
19 Jun
Horseed
1 : 1
Gaadiidka
Page 1 of 6

Jazeera

(Away)
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
10 Jul
Badbaado
4 : 1
Jazeera
02 Jul
Jazeera
4 : 2
Jubba
25 Jun
Dekedda
1 : 0
Jazeera
18 Jun
Jazeera
1 : 3
Mogadishu City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaadiidka18125148:1441
2Heegan19125247:1541
3Mogadishu City19116236:1239
4Dekedda19107244:2037
5Elman19113532:1336
6Horseed1998237:1735
7Jazeera1855837:3520
8Jeenyo1947830:3019
9Badbaado18521130:3117
10Raadsan18411330:5013
11Jubba19201713:816
12Gantaalaha Afgooye17111516:824
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)