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Horsens vs Hillerod

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 Hybel Arena Horsens, Horsens
Horsens Logo

Horsens

4 - 0
FT
Hillerod Logo

Hillerod

Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Madsen J.
Assist: Justinussen A.
48' Event
Kirkegaard K.
Assist: Palsson V.
50'
Sub
Schmidt N. In: Kallsberg P.
Out: Schmidt N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1st Division 2025/2026 game between Horsens and Hillerod finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Horsens.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Horsens
20%
Draws
40%
Hillerod
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Horsens come out ahead of Hillerod on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular 1st Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Horsens Clean Sheet 20%
Hillerod Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horsens Hillerod
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 1st Division
Horsens vs Hillerod
4:0
Apr 11, 2026 1st Division
Hillerod vs Horsens
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 1st Division
Horsens vs Hillerod
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 1st Division
Hillerod vs Horsens
2:1
Oct 25, 2024 1st Division
Hillerod vs Horsens
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Horsens Compare

Top Goalscorer Madsen J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kirkegaard K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Hillerod Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horsens 32 / 100
Hillerod 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horsens Hillerod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hillerod let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Horsens scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Hillerod registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Horsens VS Hillerod
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Horsens

(Home)
02 Aug
Midtjylland
2 : 1
Horsens
26 Jul
Horsens
1 : 1
Nordsjaelland
18 Jul
Vendsyssel FF
1 : 0
Horsens
15 Jul
Aarhus
2 : 0
Horsens
11 Jul
FC Copenhagen
3 : 2
Horsens
Page 1 of 6

Hillerod

(Away)
01 Aug
Hillerod
2 : 3
Esbjerg
24 Jul
Aalborg
1 : 0
Hillerod
18 Jul
Hillerod
0 : 1
Lyngby
11 Jul
Vejle
1 : 1
Hillerod
04 Jul
Odense
2 : 0
Hillerod
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lyngby 32 18 6 8 69:36 60
2 Horsens 32 15 9 8 42:27 54
3 Esbjerg 32 15 7 10 45:43 52
4 Hillerod 32 13 11 8 42:43 50
5 Hvidovre IF 32 11 13 8 43:39 46
6 Kolding IF 32 10 8 14 37:40 38
Promotion - Superliga (Main)