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Horsham FC vs Brightlingsea

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Horsham FC play Brightlingsea in the Club Friendly 2023. Horsham FC are favorites here. Recently, Horsham FC averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Brightlingsea averaged 1.21 goals scored and 2.41 conceded. In past meetings, Horsham FC won 4, Brightlingsea won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 7, 2023 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Horsham FC and 1.69 for Brightlingsea. This points to a Horsham FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Horsham FC
15%
Draws
23%
Brightlingsea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Horsham FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Horsham FC picked up more points recently compared to Brightlingsea.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Horsham FC Clean Sheet 13%
Brightlingsea Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Horsham FC Brightlingsea
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.52 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2023 FA Trophy
Horsham FC vs Brightlingsea
2:0
Aug 5, 2023 Club Friendly
Horsham FC vs Brightlingsea
6:2
Apr 22, 2023 Isthmian League Premier Division
Horsham FC vs Brightlingsea
6:1
Feb 28, 2023 Isthmian League Premier Division
Brightlingsea vs Horsham FC
0:2
Mar 12, 2022 Isthmian League Premier Division
Horsham FC vs Brightlingsea
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Horsham FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Price B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hammond J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Brightlingsea Compare

Top Goalscorer Durling C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Horsham FC 58 / 100
Brightlingsea 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Horsham FC Brightlingsea

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Horsham FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Horsham FC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Horsham FC attacking → ← attacking Brightlingsea

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horsham FC scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Brightlingsea let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Horsham FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Brightlingsea lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 22
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00