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Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, TX
Houston Dynamo Logo

Houston Dynamo

0 - 1
FT
St. Louis City Logo

St. Louis City

Our Tip

Match Events

63'
Sub
Artur In: Aliyu I.
Out: Artur
63'
Sub
Ennali L. In: Herrera H.
Out: Ennali L.
65'
Sub
Ostrak T. In: Matan A.
Out: Ostrak T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

St. Louis City in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Louis City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Houston Dynamo
20%
Draws
44%
St. Louis City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Louis City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Houston Dynamo haven't matched St. Louis City's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Houston Dynamo's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Houston Dynamo Clean Sheet 10%
St. Louis City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Houston Dynamo St. Louis City
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 18
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.32 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2026 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City
0:1
Aug 23, 2026 MLS
St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo
2:1
May 20, 2026 US Open Cup
St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo
3:2
Aug 31, 2025 MLS
St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo
2:3
Jun 29, 2025 MLS
Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Houston Dynamo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

St. Louis City Compare

Top Goalscorer MacNaughton L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houston Dynamo 38 / 100
St. Louis City 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Houston Dynamo St. Louis City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Houston Dynamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Houston Dynamo scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

St. Louis City has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Houston Dynamo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Houston Dynamo VS St. Louis City
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Houston Dynamo

(Home)
08 Nov
Houston Dynamo
0 : 1
St. Louis City
02 Nov
Portland Timbers
3 : 1
Houston Dynamo
29 Oct
Seattle Sounders
0 : 1
Houston Dynamo
25 Oct
Houston Dynamo
0 : 0
Minnesota United
18 Oct
Houston Dynamo
2 : 2
FC Dallas
Page 1 of 7

St. Louis City

(Away)
08 Nov
Houston Dynamo
0 : 1
St. Louis City
31 Oct
St. Louis City
0 : 1
San Diego FC
29 Oct
St. Louis City
2 : 3
Portland Timbers
25 Oct
Real Salt Lake
3 : 0
St. Louis City
22 Oct
Columbus Crew
0 : 1
St. Louis City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 34 19 7 8 74:34 64
2 FC Dallas 34 16 10 8 62:51 58
3 St. Louis City 34 15 9 10 59:48 54
4 San Jose Earthquakes 34 14 10 10 57:51 52
5 Houston Dynamo 34 14 9 11 43:43 51
6 Los Angeles FC 34 12 11 11 52:40 47
7 Portland Timbers 34 13 7 14 62:61 46
8 Seattle Sounders 34 12 10 12 44:46 46
9 Real Salt Lake 34 13 6 15 53:52 45
10 Minnesota United 34 11 11 12 56:58 44
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 34 11 11 12 50:57 44
12 Colorado Rapids 34 12 7 15 47:50 43
13 San Diego FC 34 9 11 14 57:63 38
14 Austin FC 34 8 10 16 42:65 34
15 Sporting Kansas City 34 7 5 22 40:81 26
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 34 23 8 3 71:25 77
2 Inter Miami 34 16 12 6 80:59 60
3 New England Revolution 34 18 4 12 55:47 58
4 Chicago Fire 34 16 7 11 64:54 55
5 Charlotte FC 34 15 9 10 66:51 54
6 Philadelphia Union 34 14 8 12 66:52 50
7 Columbus Crew 34 14 5 15 59:52 47
8 Orlando City 34 13 7 14 63:78 46
9 FC Cincinnati 34 12 10 12 67:75 46
10 New York Red Bulls 34 12 6 16 48:62 42
11 New York City 34 10 12 12 49:45 42
12 Toronto FC 34 9 12 13 52:67 39
13 Atlanta United 34 9 6 19 43:60 33
14 DC United 34 7 12 15 39:61 33
15 CF Montreal 34 6 8 20 37:69 26
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)