Sport Picks

USA

USL League Two

Hill Country Lobos

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Houston FC play Hill Country Lobos in the USL League Two. It looks like a close match. Recently, Houston FC averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Hill Country Lobos averaged 2 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. In past meetings, Houston FC won 3, Hill Country Lobos won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Houston FC and 2.00 for Hill Country Lobos. This points to a Houston FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Houston FC

18%

Draws

31%

Hill Country Lobos

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Houston FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Houston FC picked up more points recently compared to Hill Country Lobos.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 2.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 92%

Over 2.5 Goals 76%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76%

Houston FC Clean Sheet 10%

Hill Country Lobos Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 83%

Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Houston FC	Hill Country Lobos
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	8	6
Draws	8	7
Losses	13	17
Goals Scored	1.59	2
Goals Conceded	1.9	2.8
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 USL League Two

Houston FC vs Hill Country Lobos

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 0 - 4

4:3

Jul 3, 2025 USL League Two

Hill Country Lobos vs Houston FC

Possession: 41% - 54% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Jun 27, 2024 USL League Two

Hill Country Lobos vs Houston FC

Possession: 44% - 57% Cards: 4 - 1

4:1

Jun 9, 2024 USL League Two

Houston FC vs Hill Country Lobos

Possession: 45% - 51% Cards: 4 - 4

4:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houston FC 48 / 100

Hill Country Lobos 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Houston FC Hill Country Lobos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Houston FC or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.43

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Houston FC attacking → ← attacking Hill Country Lobos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Houston FC scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Hill Country Lobos let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Houston FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Hill Country Lobos lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 25

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38