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Houtvenne vs Thes Sport

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Houtvenne play Thes Sport in the National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Houtvenne averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Thes Sport averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Houtvenne won 0, Thes Sport won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 24, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Houtvenne and 1.56 for Thes Sport. This points to a Thes Sport double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Houtvenne
25%
Draws
45%
Thes Sport
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Thes Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Houtvenne picked up more points recently compared to Thes Sport.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Houtvenne Clean Sheet 15%
Thes Sport Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Houtvenne Thes Sport
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.33 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Houtvenne vs Thes Sport
0:3
Sep 13, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Thes Sport vs Houtvenne
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Houtvenne Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Thes Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Fall F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keulen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Houtvenne 30 / 100
Thes Sport 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Houtvenne Thes Sport

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Thes Sport or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Houtvenne attacking → ← attacking Thes Sport

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Houtvenne scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Thes Sport let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Houtvenne went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Thes Sport lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 49
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hasselt30195676:2862
2Knokke30194756:4461
3SK Roeselare30159652:3354
4Belisia Bilzen30157862:4352
5Hoogstraten30149754:4251
6Thes Sport30148844:3450
7K. Lyra-Lierse301271145:4443
8Dessel301161361:6539
9Tienen301151438:4638
10Cercle Brugge 2301081241:5338
11Merelbeke301131642:4936
12Zelzate301061452:6136
13Leuven B301031756:6433
14Houtvenne30871540:5331
15Diegem30771652:6928
16Ninove30542140:8319