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Huetor Tajar vs Atletico de Porcuna

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Rodriguez E.
44' Event
Romero A.
75' Event
Romero A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 game between Huetor Tajar and Atletico de Porcuna finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico de Porcuna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Huetor Tajar
39%
Draws
31%
Atletico de Porcuna
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico de Porcuna come out ahead of Huetor Tajar on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Atletico de Porcuna have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Huetor Tajar Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico de Porcuna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Huetor Tajar Atletico de Porcuna
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs Atletico de Porcuna
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Huetor Tajar
1:0
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Huetor Tajar
3:2
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs Atletico de Porcuna
2:3
Jan 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Huetor Tajar
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Huetor Tajar Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Atletico de Porcuna Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Huetor Tajar 41 / 100
Atletico de Porcuna 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Huetor Tajar Atletico de Porcuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Huetor Tajar found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Atletico de Porcuna has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Atletico de Porcuna has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Huetor Tajar VS Atletico de Porcuna
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Huetor Tajar

(Home)
10 May
Huetor Tajar
3 : 1
Melilla B
03 May
Martos
1 : 0
Huetor Tajar
26 Apr
Huetor Tajar
0 : 1
Mijas Las Lagunas
19 Apr
Marbelli
2 : 1
Huetor Tajar
11 Apr
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1
Mancha
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Atletico de Porcuna

(Away)
10 May
Motril
2 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
03 May
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 0
Torre del Mar
25 Apr
El Palo
1 : 2
Atletico de Porcuna
19 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 3
UD San Pedro
12 Apr
CD Alhaurino
3 : 0
Atletico de Porcuna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mijas Las Lagunas34199646:2466
2Motril341811555:2965
3Torre del Mar341413737:2655
4Arenas Armilla341591038:2954
5Churriana de la Vega3414101032:4052
6Marbelli341491136:2851
7Ciudad de Torredonjimeno3413111039:3850
8UD San Pedro3413101139:3749
9Atletico de Porcuna341441641:3946
10Huetor Vega341291343:4245
11Granada CF B3410141049:4744
12CD Alhaurino3411101341:4143
13Melilla B349121330:3239
14Mancha349101530:3837
15Huetor Tajar349101540:4437
16Martos349101532:4837
17CD Torreperogil34961924:4533
18El Palo34691928:5327
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)