Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Huetor Tajar vs Churriana de la Vega

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Fernandez A.
90' Event
Lopez J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between Huetor Tajar and Churriana de la Vega finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Huetor Tajar
39%
Draws
31%
Churriana de la Vega
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Huetor Tajar haven't matched Churriana de la Vega's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Huetor Tajar Clean Sheet 68%
Churriana de la Vega Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Huetor Tajar Churriana de la Vega
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 9 11
Draws 9 11
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs Churriana de la Vega
1:1
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Churriana de la Vega vs Huetor Tajar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Huetor Tajar Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Churriana de la Vega Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Huetor Tajar 41 / 100
Churriana de la Vega 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Huetor Tajar Churriana de la Vega

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Huetor Tajar scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Churriana de la Vega let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Huetor Tajar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Huetor Tajar VS Churriana de la Vega
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Huetor Tajar

(Home)
10 May
Huetor Tajar
3 : 1
Melilla B
03 May
Martos
1 : 0
Huetor Tajar
26 Apr
Huetor Tajar
0 : 1
Mijas Las Lagunas
19 Apr
Marbelli
2 : 1
Huetor Tajar
11 Apr
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1
Mancha
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Churriana de la Vega

(Away)
24 May
Motril
0 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
17 May
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 1
Motril
10 May
El Palo
0 : 2
Churriana de la Vega
03 May
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 1
UD San Pedro
26 Apr
CD Alhaurino
4 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mijas Las Lagunas34199646:2466
2Motril341811555:2965
3Torre del Mar341413737:2655
4Arenas Armilla341591038:2954
5Churriana de la Vega3414101032:4052
6Marbelli341491136:2851
7Ciudad de Torredonjimeno3413111039:3850
8UD San Pedro3413101139:3749
9Atletico de Porcuna341441641:3946
10Huetor Vega341291343:4245
11Granada CF B3410141049:4744
12CD Alhaurino3411101341:4143
13Melilla B349121330:3239
14Mancha349101530:3837
15Huetor Tajar349101540:4437
16Martos349101532:4837
17CD Torreperogil34961924:4533
18El Palo34691928:5327
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)