Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Huetor Tajar vs Mancha

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Corral P.
62' Event
Mayas M.
87' Event
Velazquez I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 game between Huetor Tajar and Mancha finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Huetor Tajar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Huetor Tajar
20%
Draws
20%
Mancha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Huetor Tajar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Mancha haven't matched Huetor Tajar's recent run of results.
  • Huetor Tajar are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Huetor Tajar Clean Sheet 68%
Mancha Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Huetor Tajar Mancha
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.2 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs Mancha
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Huetor Tajar
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Huetor Tajar
1:0
Nov 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs Mancha
2:0
Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Huetor Tajar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Huetor Tajar Compare

Top Goalscorer Mayas M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Velazquez I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Mancha Compare

Top Goalscorer Corral P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Huetor Tajar 59 / 100
Mancha 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Huetor Tajar Mancha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Huetor Tajar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Huetor Tajar scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Mancha has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Mancha registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Huetor Tajar VS Mancha
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Huetor Tajar

(Home)
10 May
Huetor Tajar
3 : 1
Melilla B
03 May
Martos
1 : 0
Huetor Tajar
26 Apr
Huetor Tajar
0 : 1
Mijas Las Lagunas
19 Apr
Marbelli
2 : 1
Huetor Tajar
11 Apr
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1
Mancha
Page 1 of 6

Mancha

(Away)
20 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
1 : 0
Mancha
13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0
Mancha
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1
Marbelli
30 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0
Mancha
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1
Mancha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 19 9 6 46:24 66
2 Motril 34 18 11 5 55:29 65
3 Torre del Mar 34 14 13 7 37:26 55
4 Arenas Armilla 34 15 9 10 38:29 54
5 Churriana de la Vega 34 14 10 10 32:40 52
6 Marbelli 34 14 9 11 36:28 51
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 13 11 10 39:38 50
8 UD San Pedro 34 13 10 11 39:37 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 34 14 4 16 41:39 46
10 Huetor Vega 34 12 9 13 43:42 45
11 Granada CF B 34 10 14 10 49:47 44
12 CD Alhaurino 34 11 10 13 41:41 43
13 Melilla B 34 9 12 13 30:32 39
14 Mancha 34 9 10 15 30:38 37
15 Huetor Tajar 34 9 10 15 40:44 37
16 Martos 34 9 10 15 32:48 37
17 CD Torreperogil 34 9 6 19 24:45 33
18 El Palo 34 6 9 19 28:53 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)