Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hulbuk vs Vakhsh

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga 2025
Hulbuk Logo

Hulbuk

0 - 2
FT
Vakhsh Logo

Vakhsh

Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Fatkhulloev F.
77' Event
Cherniy K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga 2025 game between Hulbuk and Vakhsh finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vakhsh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Hulbuk
35%
Draws
49%
Vakhsh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vakhsh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Vakhsh carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Vakhsh taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Hulbuk Clean Sheet 10%
Vakhsh Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hulbuk Vakhsh
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 2 12
Draws 8 12
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 0.71 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Hulbuk vs Vakhsh
0:2
May 16, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs Hulbuk
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hulbuk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Vakhsh Compare

Top Goalscorer Fatkhulloev F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cherniy K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hulbuk 10 / 100
Vakhsh 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hulbuk Vakhsh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vakhsh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vakhsh has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Hulbuk scored in 54% of their last 24 games.

Hulbuk went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hulbuk VS Vakhsh
1 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hulbuk

(Home)
10 Dec
Sardor Tursunzoda
2 : 0
Hulbuk
07 Dec
Hulbuk
2 : 2
Sardor Tursunzoda
04 Dec
Hulbuk
1 : 5
Istiqlol Dushanbe
10 Nov
Hulbuk
1 : 1
Ravshan Kulob
02 Nov
Khosilot Parkhar
1 : 0
Hulbuk
Page 1 of 5

Vakhsh

(Away)
29 Aug
Vakhsh
1 : 1
Istaravshan
15 Aug
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 1
Vakhsh
01 Aug
Vakhsh
4 : 2
Eskhata
27 Jun
Barkchi Hisor
2 : 2
Vakhsh
13 Jun
Vakhsh
0 : 2
Ravshan Kulob
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 22 15 5 2 58:18 50
2 Vakhsh 22 12 9 1 33:18 45
3 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 22 10 7 5 38:23 37
4 Ravshan Kulob 22 8 11 3 26:20 35
5 Khujand 22 9 4 9 24:25 31
6 Regar-TadAZ 22 8 6 8 25:24 30
7 Eskhata 22 7 9 6 31:30 30
8 Barkchi Hisor 22 6 9 7 22:20 27
9 Khosilot Parkhar 22 6 6 10 27:38 24
10 Istaravshan 22 4 7 11 23:42 19
11 Hulbuk 22 2 7 13 15:39 13
12 Panjsher 22 2 6 14 16:41 12
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga 2025 (Relegation)