Sport Picks

Hull City U21 vs Derby U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

Premier League Cup

Derby U21

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Hull City U21 at 1.59 goals for, 1.93 against; Derby U21 at 1.69 for, 2.31 against. Past meetings favor Hull City U21 slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 14, 2026, ending 1:4. xG projections (2.25 - 2.00) back Hull City U21 to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Hull City U21

20%

Draws

30%

Derby U21

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hull City U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Derby U21 average 1.69 goals a game right now, well clear of Hull City U21's 1.59.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%

Hull City U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Derby U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hull City U21	Derby U21
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	8	8
Draws	6	7
Losses	15	14
Goals Scored	1.59	1.69
Goals Conceded	1.93	2.31
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Premier League Cup

Derby U21 vs Hull City U21

1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hull City U21 30 / 100

Derby U21 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hull City U21 Derby U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derby U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Hull City U21 scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Hull City U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hull City U21 VS Derby U21

1.25 Goals Scored 2.25

1.75 Goals Conceded 3.25

88% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 100%

38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Hull City U21

(Home)

13 Oct

Hull City U21

0 : 0

Wycombe U21

09 Oct

Barnsley U21

0 : 2

Hull City U21

06 Oct

Hull City U21

2 : 2

Wigan U21

29 Sept

Hull City U21

1 : 2

Bolton U21

22 Sept

Bristol City U21

4 : 1

Hull City U21

Page 1 of 6

Derby U21

(Away)

26 Oct

Derby U21

3 : 4

Norwich U21

19 Oct

Birmingham U21

0 : 4

Derby U21

13 Oct

Scunthorpe

3 : 2

Derby U21

10 Oct

Brentford U21

4 : 2

Derby U21

18 Sept

Burnley U21

4 : 1

Derby U21

Page 1 of 6