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Iceland U19 vs Wales U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U19 Rodney Parade, Newport
Tue, Nov 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iceland U19 host Wales U19 in the Euro U19. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Iceland U19 have averaged 1.46 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Wales U19's 1.41 scored and 2.09 conceded. Head-to-head, Iceland U19 have won 1 to Wales U19's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 4, 2017, ending 0:1. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 1.10) point toward Iceland U19. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Iceland U19
35%
Draws
19%
Wales U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Iceland U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Wales U19 have managed 1.41 goals a game lately — Iceland U19 are scoring more at 1.46.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Iceland U19 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U19 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Iceland U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Wales U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iceland U19 Wales U19
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 11 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.46 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2017 Friendly International
Wales U19 vs Iceland U19
0:1
Oct 22, 2010 Euro U19
Wales U19 vs Iceland U19
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iceland U19 58 / 100
Wales U19 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iceland U19 Wales U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iceland U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iceland U19's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Wales U19 let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Iceland U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iceland U19 VS Wales U19
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.57 Goals Conceded 3.25
71% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 88%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Iceland U19

(Home)
11 Nov
Spain U19
2 : 2
Iceland U19
09 Jun
Georgia U19
2 : 3
Iceland U19
06 Jun
Iceland U19
1 : 1
Montenegro U19
31 Mar
Morocco U18
2 : 1
Iceland U19
28 Mar
Portugal U18
4 : 0
Iceland U19
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Wales U19

(Away)
11 Nov
Wales U19
2 : 2
Finland U19
05 Oct
Wales U19
0 : 0
Northern Ireland U19
02 Oct
Wales U19
0 : 2
Norway U19
29 Sept
USA U19
2 : 0
Wales U19
04 Jul
Denmark U19
3 : 0
Wales U19
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