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Iceland U21 vs France U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Eimskipsvöllurinn, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Tel M.
32'
Thorhallsson H.
44'
Kristjansson D. F.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 game between Iceland U21 and France U21 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Iceland U21
30%
Draws
37%
France U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: France U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and France U21 come out ahead of Iceland U21 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Iceland U21 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Iceland U21 Clean Sheet 10%
France U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iceland U21 France U21
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 12 23
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.61 2.79
Goals Conceded 1.39 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Euro U21
Iceland U21 vs France U21
1:1
Mar 30, 2026 Euro U21
France U21 vs Iceland U21
2:1
Mar 31, 2021 Euro U21
Iceland U21 vs France U21
0:2
Sep 6, 2016 Euro U21
France U21 vs Iceland U21
2:0
Sep 5, 2015 Euro U21
Iceland U21 vs France U21
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iceland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gudjohnsen D. T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

France U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tel M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iceland U21 40 / 100
France U21 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iceland U21 France U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iceland U21's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

France U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Iceland U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iceland U21 VS France U21
1.88 Goals Scored 3
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Iceland U21

(Home)
25 Sept
Iceland U21
1 : 1
France U21
30 Mar
France U21
2 : 1
Iceland U21
26 Mar
Iceland U21
6 : 2
Estonia U21
13 Nov
Luxembourg U21
1 : 3
Iceland U21
14 Oct
Iceland U21
2 : 1
Luxembourg U21
Page 1 of 6

France U21

(Away)
25 Sept
Iceland U21
1 : 1
France U21
30 Mar
France U21
2 : 1
Iceland U21
26 Mar
Luxembourg U21
1 : 5
France U21
17 Nov
France U21
1 : 0
Faroe Islands U21
14 Nov
Switzerland U21
1 : 1
France U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 9 8 0 1 40:4 24
2 Finland U21 9 7 1 1 30:3 22
3 Romania U21 9 5 1 3 11:6 16
4 Kosovo U21 9 4 2 3 17:7 14
5 Cyprus U21 9 1 0 8 6:29 3
6 San Marino U21 9 0 0 9 0:55 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 9 7 1 1 33:2 22
2 Czech Republic U21 9 5 3 1 17:4 18
3 Scotland U21 9 4 2 3 23:12 14
4 Bulgaria U21 9 4 2 3 9:8 14
5 Azerbaijan U21 9 1 4 4 8:24 7
6 Gibraltar U21 9 0 0 9 1:41 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 9 7 2 0 27:7 23
2 Switzerland U21 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
3 Iceland U21 9 4 3 2 20:11 15
4 Faroe Islands U21 9 4 0 5 8:15 12
5 Luxembourg U21 9 2 1 6 10:22 7
6 Estonia U21 9 0 2 7 9:25 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 9 7 2 0 22:4 23
2 Ireland U21 9 5 2 2 13:13 17
3 Slovakia U21 9 5 2 2 15:12 17
4 Andorra U21 9 2 2 5 6:10 8
5 Moldova U21 9 1 3 5 9:17 6
6 Kazakhstan U21 9 1 1 7 9:18 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U21 9 9 0 0 26:2 27
2 Italy U21 9 8 0 1 26:5 24
3 Montenegro U21 9 3 2 4 12:15 11
4 Sweden U21 9 3 1 5 10:22 10
5 North Macedonia U21 9 2 1 6 8:18 7
6 Armenia U21 9 0 0 9 4:24 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 9 8 0 1 30:5 24
2 Greece U21 9 8 0 1 28:6 24
3 Northern Ireland U21 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
4 Georgia U21 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
5 Latvia U21 9 1 2 6 6:20 5
6 Malta U21 9 0 0 9 2:36 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Israel U21 7 2 4 1 9:9 10
3 Netherlands U21 7 2 3 2 11:10 9
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 7 1 4 2 3:7 7
5 Slovenia U21 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 7 5 1 1 14:3 16
2 Turkey U21 7 3 3 1 9:8 12
3 Ukraine U21 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
4 Hungary U21 7 1 3 3 9:13 6
5 Lithuania U21 7 0 2 5 4:16 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 7 5 1 1 13:2 16
2 Denmark U21 7 4 2 1 15:6 14
3 Austria U21 7 3 2 2 8:8 11
4 Wales U21 7 2 0 5 6:21 6
5 Belarus U21 8 1 1 6 7:12 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)