Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Iceland play Wales in the UEFA Nations League 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Iceland averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Wales averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Iceland won 0, Wales won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 19, 2024 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Iceland and 1.88 for Wales. This points to a Wales double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Iceland picked up more points recently compared to Wales.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.88 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Iceland | Wales |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Iceland Compare
Wales Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Iceland scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Wales let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Iceland went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Wales lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Match Risk Analysis
Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability
Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.
European tournament. Big stakes for both clubs, so expect a tense, high-pressure match.
Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Czech Republic | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Georgia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Albania | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | 7 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Greece | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 3 | Ireland | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:12 | 6 |
| 4 | Finland | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2:13 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Austria | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0:15 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wales | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Turkey | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 3 | Iceland | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:13 | 7 |
| 4 | Montenegro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:9 | 3 |