Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Johnson B.
28'
28'
Thordarson S. T.
29'
29'
Wilson H.
Assist: Williams N.
AI Match Summary
The UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 game between Iceland and Wales finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Wales
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Wales come out ahead of Iceland on wins alone.
- Wales are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Wales have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Iceland Clean Sheet 10%
Wales Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Iceland | Wales |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 19, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Wales vs Iceland
4:1
Oct 11, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Iceland vs Wales
2:2
Mar 5, 2014 Friendly International
Wales vs Iceland
3:1
May 28, 2008 Friendly International
Iceland vs Wales
0:1
May 1, 1991 Friendly International
Wales vs Iceland
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Iceland Compare
Top Goalscorer Tomasson L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Wales Compare
Top Goalscorer Johnson B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Wilson H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Iceland 22 / 100
Wales 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Iceland Wales
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Wales Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Iceland's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Wales has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Iceland has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Iceland VS Wales
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Iceland
(Home) 10 Jun
Argentina
3 : 0 Iceland
31 May
Japan
1 : 0 Iceland
31 Mar
Haiti
1 : 1 Iceland
28 Mar
Canada
2 : 2 Iceland
26 Feb
Mexico
4 : 0 Iceland
Page 1 of 6
13 Oct
Iceland
2 : 2 France
10 Oct
Iceland
3 : 5 Ukraine
05 Sept
Iceland
5 : 0 Azerbaijan
23 Mar
Iceland
1 : 3 Kosovo
14 Oct
Iceland
2 : 4 Turkey
Page 1 of 2
Wales
(Away) 06 Jun
Romania
2 : 1 Wales
02 Jun
Wales
1 : 1 Ghana
31 Mar
Wales
1 : 1 Northern Ireland
26 Mar
Wales
1 : 2 Bosnia & Herzegovina
18 Nov
Wales
7 : 1 North Macedonia
Page 1 of 6
06 Jun
Romania
2 : 1 Wales
15 Nov
Liechtenstein
0 : 1 Wales
09 Oct
England
3 : 0 Wales
04 Sept
Kazakhstan
0 : 1 Wales
09 Jun
Belgium
4 : 3 Wales
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Czech Republic | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Georgia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Albania | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | 7 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Greece | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 3 | Ireland | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:12 | 6 |
| 4 | Finland | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2:13 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Austria | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0:15 | 1 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wales | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Turkey | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 3 | Iceland | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:13 | 7 |
| 4 | Montenegro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:9 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
