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Iceland W vs Spain W Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

World Cup Women Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavík
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Match Events

5' Event
Lopez V.
Assist: Putellas A.
37' Event
Imade E.
Assist: Batlle O.
45' Event
Paralluelo S.
Assist: Batlle O.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-6. This leg finished 1-6.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Iceland W
15%
Draws
57%
Spain W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spain W lately — more wins on the board than Iceland W.
  • Win probability leans Spain W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Spain W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Spain W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Spain W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Iceland W Clean Sheet 12%
Spain W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iceland W Spain W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 23
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.2 2.81
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 World Cup Women
Iceland W vs Spain W
1:6
Mar 3, 2026 World Cup Women
Spain W vs Iceland W
3:0
Mar 6, 2017 Algarve Cup Women
Iceland W vs Spain W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iceland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Boama L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Spain W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Imade E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iceland W 10 / 100
Spain W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iceland W Spain W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Iceland W's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Spain W conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Iceland W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Iceland W VS Spain W
1 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Iceland W

(Home)
09 Jun
Iceland W
1 : 6
Spain W
05 Jun
Ukraine W
0 : 1
Iceland W
18 Apr
Iceland W
0 : 1
England W
14 Apr
Iceland W
1 : 0
Ukraine W
07 Mar
England W
2 : 0
Iceland W
Page 1 of 6

Spain W

(Away)
09 Jun
Iceland W
1 : 6
Spain W
05 Jun
Spain W
4 : 0
England W
18 Apr
Spain W
5 : 0
Ukraine W
14 Apr
England W
1 : 0
Spain W
07 Mar
Ukraine W
1 : 3
Spain W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark W 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Italy W 6 2 3 1 12:4 9
3 Sweden W 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Serbia W 6 0 1 5 2:17 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Netherlands W 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 Ireland W 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
4 Poland W 6 0 1 5 6:15 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 6 5 0 1 21:3 15
2 England W 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
3 Iceland W 6 2 0 4 3:12 6
4 Ukraine W 6 0 0 6 2:19 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany W 6 5 1 0 18:1 16
2 Norway W 6 4 0 2 11:9 12
3 Austria W 6 1 1 4 3:9 4
4 Slovenia W 6 1 0 5 3:16 3
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)