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Idoya vs CD Aluvion

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 15 2010/2011 game between Idoya and CD Aluvion finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Aluvion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Idoya
20%
Draws
40%
CD Aluvion
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Idoya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Idoya's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Idoya Clean Sheet 18%
CD Aluvion Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Idoya CD Aluvion
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 2
Draws 10 6
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.03 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Idoya vs CD Aluvion
4:4
Aug 28, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Aluvion vs Idoya
0:1
Jan 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Idoya vs CD Aluvion
2:3
Aug 29, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Aluvion vs Idoya
2:2
Feb 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Aluvion vs Idoya
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Idoya 85 / 100
CD Aluvion 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Idoya CD Aluvion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Idoya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Aluvion let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Idoya found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

CD Aluvion's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Idoya VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Idoya

(Home)
13 May
CD Corellano
1 : 0
Idoya
05 May
Idoya
1 : 2
CD Ardoi
28 Apr
Huarte
3 : 2
Idoya
22 Apr
Idoya
1 : 1
Mutilvera
14 Apr
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
Idoya
Page 1 of 7

CD Aluvion

(Away)
12 May
Mutilvera
2 : 0
CD Aluvion
06 May
CD Aluvion
1 : 3
Cirbonero
27 Apr
Aoiz
3 : 1
CD Aluvion
22 Apr
CD Aluvion
0 : 6
Tudelano
14 Apr
Cortes
1 : 1
CD Aluvion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tudelano 38 28 6 4 87:24 90
2 Izarra 38 25 8 5 78:24 83
3 Valle Egues 38 19 9 10 57:46 66
4 Mutilvera 38 19 9 10 60:34 66
5 Txantrea 38 18 11 9 58:35 65
6 Iruna 38 16 13 9 52:36 61
7 AD San Juan 38 12 20 6 38:30 56
8 Cirbonero 38 15 8 15 51:46 53
9 CD Lourdes 38 15 8 15 52:56 53
10 Oberena 38 14 10 14 42:39 52
11 Pamplona 38 12 13 13 51:51 49
12 Murchante 38 11 12 15 48:57 45
13 Huarte 38 10 14 14 45:50 44
14 Aoiz 38 10 12 16 37:49 42
15 CD Aluvion 38 9 14 15 34:44 41
16 Idoya 38 10 11 17 51:78 41
17 CD Ardoi 38 9 11 18 29:57 38
18 Lagun Artea 38 10 7 21 40:79 37
19 CD River Ega 38 7 6 25 26:73 27
20 Pena Azagresa 38 5 10 23 34:62 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)