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Idoya vs Erriberri

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017 game between Idoya and Erriberri finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Idoya
20%
Draws
64%
Erriberri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Erriberri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Idoya haven't matched Erriberri's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Idoya a 16% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Idoya Clean Sheet 20%
Erriberri Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Idoya Erriberri
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 6 7
Draws 12 7
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Idoya vs Erriberri
2:2
Nov 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Erriberri vs Idoya
0:0
Feb 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Idoya vs Erriberri
1:1
Oct 7, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Erriberri vs Idoya
7:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Idoya 49 / 100
Erriberri 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Idoya Erriberri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Idoya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Idoya's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Erriberri has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Difficult form: Erriberri registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Idoya VS Erriberri
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Idoya

(Home)
13 May
CD Corellano
1 : 0
Idoya
05 May
Idoya
1 : 2
CD Ardoi
28 Apr
Huarte
3 : 2
Idoya
22 Apr
Idoya
1 : 1
Mutilvera
14 Apr
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
Idoya
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Erriberri

(Away)
13 May
Burlades
2 : 2
Erriberri
07 May
Erriberri
2 : 0
CD River Ega
29 Apr
CD Corellano
3 : 0
Erriberri
23 Apr
Erriberri
0 : 4
Txantrea
13 Apr
Oberena
2 : 0
Erriberri
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 38 25 7 6 73:35 82
2 Iruna 38 24 7 7 66:32 79
3 Cirbonero 38 23 8 7 65:30 77
4 Cortes 38 19 7 12 51:35 64
5 Oberena 38 19 6 13 54:45 63
6 AD San Juan 38 16 14 8 60:42 62
7 Burlades 38 15 14 9 51:50 59
8 Idoya 38 17 6 15 51:47 57
9 Huarte 38 13 13 12 39:36 52
10 Txantrea 38 14 10 14 63:56 52
11 Subiza 38 14 8 16 65:62 50
12 CD Cantolagua 38 14 7 17 44:47 49
13 Valle Egues 38 12 9 17 51:49 45
14 CD River Ega 38 14 3 21 52:77 45
15 Pamplona 38 11 11 16 47:52 44
16 CD Corellano 38 11 11 16 49:56 44
17 CD Ardoi 38 11 11 16 39:46 44
18 CD Lourdes 38 10 10 18 37:56 40
19 Erriberri 38 7 8 23 27:69 29
20 Valtierrano 38 2 8 28 30:92 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)