Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IFK Karlshamn vs Hogaborgs

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Pyk A.
44' Event
Jonsson L.
(Penalty)
68' Event
Jonsson L.

AI Match Summary

IFK Karlshamn in this Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored IFK Karlshamn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
IFK Karlshamn
15%
Draws
49%
Hogaborgs
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hogaborgs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hogaborgs lately — more wins on the board than IFK Karlshamn.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
IFK Karlshamn Clean Sheet 15%
Hogaborgs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Karlshamn Hogaborgs
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 1.15 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.09 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Karlshamn vs Hogaborgs
3:0
May 3, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Hogaborgs vs IFK Karlshamn
2:1
Aug 24, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Karlshamn vs Hogaborgs
1:3
Apr 27, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Hogaborgs vs IFK Karlshamn
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Karlshamn Compare

Top Goalscorer Pyk A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jonsson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Hogaborgs Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Karlshamn 30 / 100
Hogaborgs 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Karlshamn Hogaborgs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Karlshamn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hogaborgs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

IFK Karlshamn scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Hogaborgs registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IFK Karlshamn VS Hogaborgs
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Karlshamn

(Home)
19 Sept
IFK Berga
4 : 1
IFK Karlshamn
13 Sept
IFK Karlshamn
1 : 2
Torns
05 Sept
Osterlen FF
6 : 0
IFK Karlshamn
29 Aug
IFK Karlshamn
3 : 1
Nosaby IF
21 Aug
Solvesborgs
2 : 1
IFK Karlshamn
Page 1 of 7

Hogaborgs

(Away)
19 Aug
Hogaborgs
0 : 4
Oster
03 Jun
Hogaborgs
2 : 1
IFK Trelleborg
07 Feb
Angelholm
3 : 0
Hogaborgs
01 Nov
Hogaborgs
1 : 4
Staffanstorp United
25 Oct
Staffanstorp United
4 : 4
Hogaborgs
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kristianstad 26 18 4 4 47:22 58
2 Karlskrona 26 16 5 5 59:28 53
3 IFK Trelleborg 26 13 7 6 58:41 46
4 Solvesborgs 26 13 6 7 54:41 45
5 Vaxjo Norra 26 11 5 10 46:32 38
6 Rappe GOIF 26 9 10 7 29:32 37
7 Torns 26 10 4 12 30:46 34
8 Linero IF 26 10 3 13 39:45 33
9 Nosaby IF 26 9 6 11 41:48 33
10 IFK Karlshamn 26 10 2 14 31:43 32
11 Osterlen FF 26 9 3 14 41:43 30
12 Hogaborgs 26 8 4 14 43:53 28
13 IFK Hassleholm 26 6 4 16 36:58 22
14 Balkan 26 4 9 13 34:56 21
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2025 (Relegation)