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Stadium Background

IFK Karlshamn vs Vaxjo Norra

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Nensen A.
19' Event
Magnusson L.
85' Event
Boden H.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland game between IFK Karlshamn and Vaxjo Norra finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vaxjo Norra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
IFK Karlshamn
39%
Draws
30%
Vaxjo Norra
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Vaxjo Norra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vaxjo Norra here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
IFK Karlshamn Clean Sheet 10%
Vaxjo Norra Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Karlshamn Vaxjo Norra
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 10 15
Draws 2 7
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 1.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Karlshamn vs Vaxjo Norra
1:2
Aug 15, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Karlshamn vs Vaxjo Norra
0:0
Apr 4, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Vaxjo Norra vs IFK Karlshamn
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Karlshamn Compare

Top Goalscorer Nensen A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Vaxjo Norra Compare

Top Goalscorer Magnusson L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boden H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Karlshamn 30 / 100
Vaxjo Norra 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Karlshamn Vaxjo Norra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAX Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Karlshamn found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Vaxjo Norra conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Solid form: IFK Karlshamn remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

IFK Karlshamn VS Vaxjo Norra
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Karlskrona1493228:1630
2Linero IF1481528:1925
3Oskarshamn1473427:1724
4IFK Trelleborg1365219:1123
5Vaxjo Norra1465320:1723
6IFK Berga1463527:1921
7Nosaby IF1355323:2120
8Osterlen FF1453618:2118
9Lilla Torg1446415:2018
10Staffanstorp United1445526:2617
11Solvesborgs1451822:2316
12Torns1450920:3715
13Rappe GOIF1433814:2512
14IFK Karlshamn14211114:297