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IFK Ostersund vs Umea FC Akademi

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Talsi S.
35' Event
Essebrink R.
38' Event
Wikman K.

AI Match Summary

IFK Ostersund in this Division 2 - Norrland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored IFK Ostersund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
IFK Ostersund
6%
Draws
4%
Umea FC Akademi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: IFK Ostersund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to IFK Ostersund lately — more wins on the board than Umea FC Akademi.
  • Model gives IFK Ostersund a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors IFK Ostersund here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
IFK Ostersund Clean Sheet 15%
Umea FC Akademi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Ostersund Umea FC Akademi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 2 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Ostersund vs Umea FC Akademi
5:1
Aug 2, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs IFK Ostersund
1:2
May 25, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Ostersund vs Umea FC Akademi
2:0
May 18, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs IFK Ostersund
5:3
Aug 17, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Ostersund vs Umea FC Akademi
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Ostersund Compare

Top Goalscorer Talsi S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Essebrink R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Umea FC Akademi Compare

Top Goalscorer Sorman J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Ostersund 84 / 100
Umea FC Akademi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Ostersund Umea FC Akademi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Umea FC Akademi conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

IFK Ostersund went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

IFK Ostersund scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

IFK Ostersund VS Umea FC Akademi
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Ostersund

(Home)
21 Jun
Umea FF
1 : 1
IFK Ostersund
14 Jun
IFK Ostersund
1 : 1
Kubikenborgs
10 Jun
Fransta IK
1 : 2
IFK Ostersund
06 Jun
IFK Ostersund
0 : 0
Friska Viljor
03 Jun
IFK Ostersund
1 : 0
Kubikenborgs
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Umea FC Akademi

(Away)
21 Jun
Skelleftea
4 : 0
Umea FC Akademi
15 Jun
Umea FC Akademi
3 : 3
IFK Umea
08 Jun
Taftea IK
3 : 0
Umea FC Akademi
03 Jun
Umea FC Akademi
1 : 3
IFK Lulea
30 May
Umea FC Akademi
1 : 1
Boden
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pitea1292129:935
2IFK Ostersund1272325:1929
3Skelleftea1246228:1722
4IFK Lulea1252522:2119
5Kubikenborgs1242615:2016
6Gottne IF1241713:2313
7Umea FC Akademi12111013:368
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra 2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)