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IFK Umea vs Umea FC Akademi

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Shiekh Albosatena G.
45' Event
Shiekh Albosatena G.
78' Event
Rhodin F.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between IFK Umea and Umea FC Akademi finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Umea FC Akademi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
IFK Umea
44%
Draws
20%
Umea FC Akademi
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • IFK Umea haven't matched Umea FC Akademi's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
IFK Umea Clean Sheet 10%
Umea FC Akademi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Umea Umea FC Akademi
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 3 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 0.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 3.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs IFK Umea
3:3
May 6, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Umea FC Akademi
1:4
Sep 25, 2020 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Umea FC Akademi
0:1
May 28, 2020 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs IFK Umea
0:0
Mar 22, 2020 Club Friendly
Umea FC Akademi vs IFK Umea
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Umea Compare

Top Goalscorer Arefalk H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Umea FC Akademi Compare

Top Goalscorer Shiekh Albosatena G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rhodin F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Umea 34 / 100
Umea FC Akademi 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Umea Umea FC Akademi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UME Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Umea FC Akademi conceded in 94% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: IFK Umea scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Umea FC Akademi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

IFK Umea VS Umea FC Akademi
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
3.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Skelleftea1283126:827
2Taftea IK1281334:1325
3IFK Lulea1281332:1425
4Boden1245315:1417
5Umea FC Akademi1225517:2911
6Storfors AIK1222814:328
7IFK Umea12111010:384
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kubikenborgs1272325:1623
2Gottne IF1272329:2423
3Lucksta IF1253426:2618
4IFK Ostersund1245323:2017
5Friska Viljor1226423:2112
6Umea FF1225522:2611
7Fransta IK1223717:329