Sport Picks

Brazil

Cearense 2025 Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello

Cariri FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Iguatu play Cariri FC in the Cearense 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Iguatu averaged 1.47 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Cariri FC averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Iguatu won 2, Cariri FC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 15, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.02 for Iguatu and 0.73 for Cariri FC. This points to a Iguatu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Iguatu

35%

Draws

19%

Cariri FC

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Iguatu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Iguatu picked up more points recently compared to Cariri FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.02 vs 0.73 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Iguatu Clean Sheet 27%

Cariri FC Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Iguatu	Cariri FC
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	14	7
Draws	14	8
Losses	4	15
Goals Scored	1.47	0.83
Goals Conceded	0.94	1.53
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 Cearense

Iguatu vs Cariri FC

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

3:0

Feb 3, 2025 Cearense

Cariri FC vs Iguatu

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iguatu Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Coutinho

1 Goals

Assists Leader Verdun M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Cariri FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75

Avg xA / game 0.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iguatu 47 / 100

Cariri FC 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Iguatu Cariri FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Iguatu or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Iguatu attacking → ← attacking Cariri FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iguatu scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Cariri FC let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Iguatu went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Cariri FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 29

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.83

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.67

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Floresta EC	3	2	1	0	4:2	7
2	Iguatu	3	1	1	1	6:4	4
3	Barbalha	3	0	3	0	5:5	3
4	Cariri FC	3	0	1	2	2:6	1