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IH Hafnarfjordur vs Bjorninn

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

IH Hafnarfjordur play Bjorninn in the Icelandic Cup 2019. IH Hafnarfjordur are favorites here. Recently, IH Hafnarfjordur averaged 2 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Bjorninn averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, IH Hafnarfjordur won 1, Bjorninn won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 12, 2019 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.81 for IH Hafnarfjordur and 2.40 for Bjorninn. This points to a IH Hafnarfjordur double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
IH Hafnarfjordur
15%
Draws
15%
Bjorninn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IH Hafnarfjordur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • IH Hafnarfjordur picked up more points recently compared to Bjorninn.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.81 vs 2.40 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
IH Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 10%
Bjorninn Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IH Hafnarfjordur Bjorninn
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 14 2
Draws 0 1
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 2 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2019 Icelandic Cup
IH Hafnarfjordur vs Bjorninn
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IH Hafnarfjordur Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuld E.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bjorninn Compare

Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IH Hafnarfjordur 65 / 100
Bjorninn 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IH Hafnarfjordur Bjorninn

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IH Hafnarfjordur Win (1)
Secondary Pick IH Hafnarfjordur & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.7%
1.61
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

IH Hafnarfjordur attacking → ← attacking Bjorninn

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IH Hafnarfjordur scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Bjorninn let in goals in 88% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

IH Hafnarfjordur went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Bjorninn lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 7
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.67
3.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.00