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Ilicitano vs Valencia B Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ilicitano host Valencia B in the Segunda RFEF - Group 3. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Ilicitano at 1.46 goals for, 1.46 against; Valencia B at 1.53 for, 1.43 against. Past meetings favor Ilicitano slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2025, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.06, favoring Ilicitano. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Ilicitano
20%
Draws
10%
Valencia B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ilicitano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ilicitano come out ahead of Valencia B on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Ilicitano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ilicitano Clean Sheet 20%
Valencia B Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilicitano Valencia B
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 11
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.46 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Ilicitano vs Valencia B
2:0
Sep 15, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Valencia B vs Ilicitano
0:1
Feb 12, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Valencia B vs Ilicitano
0:0
Oct 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Ilicitano vs Valencia B
1:1
Feb 8, 2015 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Valencia B vs Ilicitano
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilicitano 58 / 100
Valencia B 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilicitano Valencia B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ilicitano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valencia B let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Ilicitano found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Ilicitano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Valencia B lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilicitano VS Valencia B
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilicitano

(Home)
27 Sept
Yeclano
1 : 0
Ilicitano
20 Sept
Ilicitano
1 : 0
Pena Deportiva
13 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 0
Ilicitano
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1
Ilicitano
22 Aug
Albacete B
0 : 1
Ilicitano
Page 1 of 6

Valencia B

(Away)
27 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 0
Valencia B
23 Sept
West Ham U21
2 : 0
Valencia B
19 Sept
Valencia B
1 : 2
Castellon B
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 0
Valencia B
06 Sept
Valencia B
1 : 1
Mallorca B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Nucia 4 4 0 0 9:1 12
2 Castellon B 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 Castellonense 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
4 CF Intercity 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Alcoyano 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
6 Yeclano 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
7 Orihuela 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
8 UCAM Murcia 4 2 0 2 7:5 6
9 Ciudad Cieza 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Lorca Deportiva 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Deportiva Minera 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
12 Mallorca B 4 1 2 1 2:3 5
13 Ilicitano 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
14 UD Poblense 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
15 Real Murcia B 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
16 Baleares 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
17 Valencia B 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
18 Pena Deportiva 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)